反向抵押贷款对哪些社会经济群体影响最大?西班牙的证据

IF 4.8 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Eva Boj, M. M. Claramunt, Xavier Varea
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引用次数: 0

摘要

反向抵押贷款是一种(也许是最主要的)以惯常住所为抵押获得额外收入的产品。本文的主要目的是根据西班牙家庭所属的社会经济群体,分析反向抵押贷款合同在家庭一生中对家庭财务的影响。本文采用四个指标来衡量近期和长期影响。我们使用了一个具有双重随机性来源的随机模型,即生存和进入依赖关系,并将其应用于从 2017 年西班牙家庭财务调查数据中以聚类方法获得的三个社会经济群体。我们得出的结论是,不同群体的影响截然不同:仅从反向抵押贷款对家庭收入的影响来看,81 至 85 岁之间的丧偶妇女受益最大,她们的收入和支出较低,净财富也很少,其常住地只占其净财富的一半(群组 1);考虑到影响最大的指标是流动性不足的概率和流动性不足的价值,使用反向抵押贷款对第 3 组家庭(高收入、高支出和净财富确实很高,户主年龄在 76 至 80 岁之间)的受益较多,而对第 2 组家庭(中等收入、净财富和支出,户主年龄在 65 至 75 岁之间)的受益较少。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
ON WHICH SOCIOECONOMIC GROUPS DO REVERSE MORTGAGES HAVE THE GREATEST IMPACT? EVIDENCE FROM SPAIN
Reverse mortgage is one of the products (perhaps the main one) that is good to obtain additional income by using the habitual residence as collateral. The main objective of this paper is to analyse the effects that reverse mortgage contracting has on household finances over the lifetime of a family according to the socioeconomic group to which it belongs in Spain. Four indicators are employed to measure the immediate and long-term effects. We use a stochastic model with a double source of randomness, survival and entry into dependency, and apply it to the three socioeconomic groups obtained with cluster methodology from the 2017 Spanish Household Financial Survey data. We conclude that the effects are very different depending on the group: regarding only the effects of hiring a reverse mortgage on the income of the family, widowed women aged between 81 and 85 years, with low income and expenses as well as little net wealth, and a habitual residence that represents half of her net wealth (Cluster 1) are the most benefited; considering that the highest impact indicators are on the probability of illiquidity and on the value of lack of liquidity, the use of reverse mortgages benefits more the families in Cluster 3 (high income and expenses and really high net wealth, head of household aged between 76 and 80 years) and less the families in Cluster 2 (medium income, net wealth and expenses, head of household aged between 65 and 75 years).
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来源期刊
CiteScore
10.00
自引率
8.50%
发文量
66
审稿时长
15 weeks
期刊介绍: Technological and Economic Development of Economy is a refereed journal that publishes original research and review articles and book reviews. The Journal is designed for publishing articles in the following fields of research: systems for sustainable development, policy on sustainable development, legislation on sustainable development, strategies, approaches and methods for sustainable development, visions and scenarios for the future, education for sustainable development, institutional change and sustainable development, health care and sustainable development, alternative economic paradigms for sustainable development, partnership in the field of sustainable development, industry and sustainable development, sustainable development challenges to business and management, technological changes and sustainable development, social aspects of sustainability, economic dimensions of sustainability, political dimensions of sustainability, innovations, life cycle design and assessment, ethics and sustainability, sustainable design and material selection, assessment of environmental impact, ecology and sustainability, application case studies, best practices, decision making theory, models of operations research, theory and practice of operations research, statistics, optimization, simulation. All papers to be published in Technological and Economic Development of Economy are peer reviewed by two appointed experts. The Journal is published quarterly, in March, June, September and December.
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