回应 Bryan Mercurio 的 "谨慎交易 "一文

IF 2.2 3区 社会学 Q2 ECONOMICS
Thibault Denamiel
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引用次数: 0

摘要

Bryan Mercurio 的简报准确地描述了全球贸易体系的拐点,即世界各国政府从自由和公平贸易中撤退。其中最主要的是美国,它最近的逆转正在整个以规则为基础的世界经济秩序中引起震动。美国将对华贸易政策与国家安全混为一谈,并利用贸易政策来争取被全球贸易体系剥夺权利的选民的政治支持,这些都让位于工业补贴和保护主义倾向。本文旨在以梅尔库里奥的观点为基础,找出美国当前方向的根本原因和长期后果。此外,本文在当今贸易格局的三个关键方面与马尔库利奥博士的论断有所不同。首先,产业政策和经济安全措施是由中国首先采取的,美国和盟国只是紧随其后。其次,美国当前的对华经济政策受到当今政治格局的严重制约,而拜登政府的做法在这些限制条件下是适度的。最后,尽管存在挑战,但随着生产从中国转移,低收入国家可以从多样化运动中获益。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Response to Bryan Mercurio's Caveat Emptor
Bryan Mercurio's brief accurately describes the inflection point of the global trading system as world governments retreat from free and fair trade. Chief among them is the United States, whose recent reversal is sending shockwaves throughout the rules-based economic world order. The United States' conflation of trade policy vis-à-vis China and national security, as well as the use of trade policy to garner political support from voters disenfranchised by the global trading system, have given way to industrial subsidies and protectionist tendencies. This article aims to build upon Mercurio's points and identify the underlying causes and long-term consequences of the current US direction. In addition, this piece differs from Dr Mercurio's assertions on three critical aspects of today's trade landscape. Firstly, industrial policy and economic security measures were first undertaken by China, and the United States and allied nations only followed suit. Secondly, the current US economic policy regarding China is severely constrained by today's political landscape, and the Biden administration's approach is moderate given these confines. Lastly, despite challenges, low-income countries can gain from the diversification movement as production shifts away from China.
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来源期刊
World Trade Review
World Trade Review Multiple-
CiteScore
2.30
自引率
7.70%
发文量
41
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