伏伊伏丁那自治省(北塞尔维亚)交通事故的时空和趋势分析

IF 1.7 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
Emina Kričković, Tin Lukić, Tanja Srejić, Anastazija Stojšić-Milosavljević, Vladimir Stojanović, Zoran Kričković
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究的目的是利用伏伊伏丁那自治省 2011 年至 2020 年的数据分析交通事故的时空模式。使用 ArcGIS Pro 软件中的 Getis-Ord G i ⁎ {G}_{i}^{ast } 统计法确定了市级交通事故热点的时空模式。使用 Mann-Kendall (MK) 统计法分析了交通事故的趋势。在 45 个城市中,有 15 个城市的交通事故数量、死亡人数和受伤人数呈一定趋势。在两个城市,交通事故数量呈下降趋势,而在七个城市则呈上升趋势。有 3 个城市的交通事故死亡人数呈下降趋势。五个城市的交通事故受伤人数呈下降趋势。对交通事故和交通事故受伤人数的热点分析显示,7 个城市存在热点,而在交通事故死亡人数方面没有发现热点。在交通伤亡加权人数(拖拉机上的人员)方面,有两个城市发现了热点。这项研究有可能通过针对已发现的热点采取有针对性的安全措施来加强交通安全。这些措施最终可减少交通事故,从而遏制伤亡人数。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Spatial-temporal and trend analysis of traffic accidents in AP Vojvodina (North Serbia)
The objective of this study is to analyse the spatial-temporal patterns of traffic accidents using data from 2011 to 2020 for the AP Vojvodina. The spatial-temporal patterns of traffic accident hotspots were identified at the municipality level using the Getis–Ord G i {G}_{i}^{\ast } statistic in ArcGIS Pro software. Trends in traffic accidents were analysed using the Mann-Kendall (MK) statistic. A certain trend in the number of traffic accidents, fatalities, and injuries was detected in 15 out of 45 municipalities. In two municipalities, the trend in the number of traffic accidents is decreasing, while in seven, it is increasing. In three municipalities, a decreasing trend in the number of traffic fatalities was observed. A decreasing trend in traffic injuries was identified in five municipalities. Hotspot analysis on the number of traffic accidents and traffic injuries revealed hotspots in seven municipalities, while no hotspots were detected in the number of traffic fatalities. In the traffic casualties weighted number, persons in tractors, hotspots were identified in two municipalities. This research has the potential to enhance traffic safety by directing targeted safety measures towards identified hotspots. Such measures could ultimately lead to a reduction in traffic accidents, consequently curbing the number of both fatalities and injuries.
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来源期刊
Open Geosciences
Open Geosciences GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY-
CiteScore
3.10
自引率
10.00%
发文量
63
审稿时长
15 weeks
期刊介绍: Open Geosciences (formerly Central European Journal of Geosciences - CEJG) is an open access, peer-reviewed journal publishing original research results from all fields of Earth Sciences such as: Atmospheric Sciences, Geology, Geophysics, Geography, Oceanography and Hydrology, Glaciology, Speleology, Volcanology, Soil Science, Palaeoecology, Geotourism, Geoinformatics, Geostatistics.
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