国际金价与中国股市的联系

Shaoheng Zhan
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摘要

基于股市联动的相关理论,本文运用Copula模型分析了国际黄金市场与中国股市的相关性。分阶段分析了中国金融经济国际化进程中的三个重要节点。结果表明,国际黄金市场与中国股票市场的相关性总体较弱,在中国未加入 WTO 时,中国股票市场与国际黄金市场呈渐近独立关系;随着中国国际化进程的逐步深入,二者的尾部相关性逐渐增强。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Linkage Between International Gold Price and Chinese Stock market
Based on the related theory of stock market linkage, this paper uses the Copula model to analyze the correlation between international gold market and the Chinese stock market. The three important nodes of the process of financial and economic internationalization in China are analyzed in stages. According to the results, the correlation between the international gold market and the Chinese stock market is weak in general, when China does not join the WTO, the Chinese stock market and the international gold market are asymptotically independent; with the gradual deepening of China's internationalization process, the tail correlation between the two is gradually increasing.
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