BBN KB 激励政策是否能提高电池电动汽车的拥有率?印度尼西亚案例研究

Risza Galas Ramadhan, Khoirunurrofik Khoirunurrofik
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摘要

印度尼西亚承诺到 2060 年减少温室气体排放,实现净零排放。在交通部门过渡使用可再生能源电动汽车是减少排放的一个解决方案。然而,印尼电池电动汽车的拥有率仍然很低。本研究对旨在鼓励印尼电池电动汽车拥有率的 BBN KB 激励政策的效果进行了实证讨论。为确定 BBN KB 激励政策对电池型电动汽车拥有率的影响,本研究利用 2019-2022 年印尼 34 个省的二手数据,采用集合普通最小二乘法(POLS)估计技术进行了调和回归分析(MRA)面板数据分析。分析结果发现,BBN KB激励政策对增加印尼电动汽车,尤其是电池型电动汽车的拥有量有显著影响。充电基础设施(SPKLU)数量、消费者意识、燃料价格和公开失业率等因素对电池型电动机动车的拥有率有显著影响。对爪哇岛的分析表明,政策实施后,对增加电池电动汽车的拥有量有显著影响,而在非爪哇岛,BBN KB 激励政策对增加电池电动汽车(尤其是四轮车)的拥有量影响不大。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Does The BBN KB Incentive Policy Increase Ownership Of Battery-Based Electric Vehicles? Indonesia Case Study
Indonesia's commitment by 2060 is to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and realize net zero emissions. The transition of electric vehicles in the transportation sector with renewable energy is a solution to reduce emissions. However, the ownership rate of battery-based electric vehicles in Indonesia is still low. This study empirically discusses the effect of the BBN KB incentive policy designed to encourage ownership of battery-based electric vehicles in Indonesia. To determine the effect of the BBN KB incentive policy on battery-based electric vehicle ownership, a Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA) panel data analysis with Pooled Ordinary Least Square (POLS) estimation technique is used using secondary data from 34 provinces in Indonesia from 2019-2022. The results of the analysis found that the BBN KB incentive policy has a significant effect on increasing ownership of electric vehicles, especially battery-based electric cars in Indonesia. The factors of the number of charging infrastructure (SPKLU), consumer awareness, fuel prices and open unemployment rates have a significant influence on ownership of battery-based electric motorized vehicles. Analysis on the island of Java explains that there is a significant effect on increasing ownership of battery-based electric car vehicles after the policy is implemented, while on non-Java island the BBN KB incentive policy shows an insignificant impact on increasing ownership of battery-based electric vehicles, especially 4-wheelers.
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