基于贝叶斯信念网络的森林火灾预测专家系统模型

Informacionnye Tehnologii Pub Date : 2024-03-13 DOI:10.17587/it.30.124-132

S. A. Ivanov

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摘要

文章讨论了用于预测森林火灾发生的专家系统（ES）的开发。文章定义了基于贝叶斯信任网络的系统实施问题和技术。开发了一个预测专家系统模型。实现了专家系统，并给出了计算系统节点概率分布的示例。展示了拟议专家系统的运行情况。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Model of an Expert System for Forecasting Forest Fires Based on a Bayesian Belief Network

The article discusses the development of an expert system (ES) for predicting the occurrence of forest fires. The problems and technology of implementing a system based on Bayesian trust networks are defined. A forecasting expert system model has been developed. The ES is implemented and an example of calculating the probability distribution at a system node is given. The operation of the proposed expert system is shown.

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Informacionnye Tehnologii

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