美国狂犬病疫苗接种的数学模型。

IF 1.2 4区生物学 Q4 ECOLOGY

Theoretical Population Biology Pub Date : 2024-03-21 DOI:10.1016/j.tpb.2024.03.004

Annalise Hassan , Zoe A. Tapp , Dan K. Tran , Jan Rychtář , Dewey Taylor

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引用次数: 0

摘要

狂犬病是最古老的病毒性疾病之一，除南极洲外，各大洲都曾出现过狂犬病。在美国，人类狂犬病病例非常罕见。在美国东部，浣熊是狂犬病的主要宿主，而宠物疫苗接种是防止人类感染狂犬病的重要屏障。在本文中，我们建立了一个狂犬病在浣熊和家养宠物之间传播的分区模型。我们找到了浣熊和家养宠物的无病平衡点和繁殖数量。我们还确定了实现消除狂犬病所需的浣熊和宠物疫苗接种率。

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Mathematical model of rabies vaccination in the United States

Rabies is one of the oldest viral diseases and it has been present on every continent except Antarctica. Within the U.S. human rabies cases are quite rare. In the eastern USA, raccoons are the main reservoir hosts and pet vaccination serves as an important barrier against human rabies exposure. In this paper, we develop a compartmental model for rabies transmission amongst raccoons and domestic pets. We find the disease-free equilibria, reproduction numbers for the raccoons and domestic pets. We also determine the vaccination coverage/rates, both for raccoons and pets, needed to achieve the elimination of rabies.

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来源期刊

Theoretical Population Biology 生物-进化生物学

CiteScore

2.50

自引率

14.30%

发文量

审稿时长

6-12 weeks

期刊介绍： An interdisciplinary journal, Theoretical Population Biology presents articles on theoretical aspects of the biology of populations, particularly in the areas of demography, ecology, epidemiology, evolution, and genetics. Emphasis is on the development of mathematical theory and models that enhance the understanding of biological phenomena. Articles highlight the motivation and significance of the work for advancing progress in biology, relying on a substantial mathematical effort to obtain biological insight. The journal also presents empirical results and computational and statistical methods directly impinging on theoretical problems in population biology.