世俗停滞：移民是解决方案的一部分吗？

IF 16.4 1区化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

Accounts of Chemical Research Pub Date : 2023-12-10 DOI:10.1002/jid.3866

José Alves, Sandro Morgado

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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们回顾了汉森于 1939 年首次提出的世俗停滞假说，以描述发达经济体当前面临的宏观经济动态。我们认为，这些经济体正在经历世俗停滞，而人口因素在这种宏观经济环境中发挥着重要作用。通过对 1965-2020 年期间 15 个欧盟经济体的面板数据进行分析，我们的论文提出，应将移民视为解决这一问题的潜在办法。我们的研究结果表明，人口因素确实在世俗停滞中发挥了重要作用，而移民在这种宏观经济环境中具有积极影响。

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Secular stagnation: Is immigration part of the solution?

We review the secular stagnation hypothesis, first postulated by Hansen in 1939, to describe the current macroeconomic dynamics faced by developed economies. We argue that these economies are experiencing secular stagnation and that demographic factors play a significant role in this macroeconomic environment. Using a panel data analysis covering the period 1965–2020 for 15 European Union economies, our paper suggests that immigration should be considered as a potential solution to this problem. Our results show that demographic factors do indeed play a significant role in secular stagnation and that immigration has a positive impact in this macroeconomic context.

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来源期刊

Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合

CiteScore

31.40

自引率

1.10%

发文量

312

审稿时长

2 months

期刊介绍： Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.