基于改进云模型-模糊 Petri 网的铁路设施设备本质安全综合评价

IF 1.7 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL
Junting Lin, Qian Li, Yang Wang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

为实现我国向现代化铁路强国转变的目标,本文以铁路设施设备的本质安全为重点,构建了本质安全综合评价模型。首先,划分了铁路设施设备本质安全评价指标体系。其次,根据模糊生成规则构建了本质安全评价的模糊 Petri 网(FPN)模型,并应用基于形状和距离的云模型相似性计算方法得出 FPN 模型的初始状态值,进行本质安全的模糊推理计算。最后,以中铁某局站段铁路设施设备为例,对本质安全进行了综合评价。结果表明,该站段的本质安全等级属于四级本质安全,存在一些薄弱环节。但风险等级较低,与实际研究结果一致。此外,基于 FPN、云模型相似性计算方法和建议方法的评估结果与实际研究结果进行了比较和分析。对比结果证明了建议方法的准确性和科学性,为提高铁路设施设备的本质安全提供了参考。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Comprehensive evaluation of intrinsic safety of railway facilities and equipment based on improved cloud model-fuzzy Petri net
In order to achieve the goal of transforming China into a modernized railway powerhouse, a comprehensive evaluation model of intrinsic safety is constructed in this paper by focussing on the intrinsic safety of railway facilities and equipment. Firstly, the index system for evaluating the intrinsic safety of railway facilities and equipment is divided. Secondly, the fuzzy Petri net (FPN) model for intrinsic safety evaluation is constructed according to the fuzzy generative rules, and the similarity calculation method of the cloud model based on shape and distance is applied to derive the initial state value of the FPN model and carry out the calculation of fuzzy reasoning of the intrinsic safety. Finally, the comprehensive evaluation of intrinsic safety is carried out using the example of railroad facilities and equipment at one China Railway Group bureau’s station section. The results indicate that the intrinsic safety level of the station section falls into Class IV intrinsic safety, exhibiting a few vulnerabilities. However, the risk level is low, aligning with the findings of the actual research. Moreover, the evaluation results based on the FPN, the cloud model’s similarity calculation method and the suggested method are compared and analysed with the findings of the actual research. The comparative results demonstrate the accuracy and scientificity of the proposed method, providing a reference for enhancing the intrinsic safety of railway facilities and equipment.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.50
自引率
19.00%
发文量
81
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: The Journal of Risk and Reliability is for researchers and practitioners who are involved in the field of risk analysis and reliability engineering. The remit of the Journal covers concepts, theories, principles, approaches, methods and models for the proper understanding, assessment, characterisation and management of the risk and reliability of engineering systems. The journal welcomes papers which are based on mathematical and probabilistic analysis, simulation and/or optimisation, as well as works highlighting conceptual and managerial issues. Papers that provide perspectives on current practices and methods, and how to improve these, are also welcome
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