到 2050 年巴西电力行业转型的关键驱动因素：德尔菲研究

IF 3.8 3区经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS

Utilities Policy Pub Date : 2024-02-23 DOI:10.1016/j.jup.2024.101728

Alex Sandro Feil , Carlos Henggeler Antunes , Patrícia Pereira da Silva , Nivalde de Castro

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引用次数: 0

摘要

本报告介绍了影响巴西电力行业 2050 年转型的 21 个关键驱动因素。这些信息采用两轮德尔菲法进行处理，涉及政府、受监管公司、服务提供商和学术界的专家。统计分析显示，专家们达成了共识，各轮调查之间也保持了稳定。欧盟和中国成为主要的外部影响来源，政策和法规被认为是主要风险。此外，巴西加入经合组织的重要性与其他关键驱动因素不相上下。收集到的证据可为政策制定、监管和未来研究提供宝贵的数据和见解。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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The critical drivers of the Brazilian electricity sector's transition through 2050: A Delphi study

This work presents 21 critical drivers influencing the transition of the Brazilian electricity sector through 2050. The information is processed using a two-round Delphi method involving experts from government, regulated companies, service providers, and academia. Statistical analysis revealed expert consensus, and stability was achieved between inquiry rounds. The European Union and China emerged as the primary external sources of influence, with policies and regulations identified as the main risks. Additionally, the importance of Brazil's accession to the OECD is on par with other critical drivers. The gathered evidence can provide valuable data and insights for policymaking, regulation, and future studies.

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来源期刊

Utilities Policy ENERGY & FUELS-ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

CiteScore

6.80

自引率

10.00%

发文量

审稿时长

66 days

期刊介绍： Utilities Policy is deliberately international, interdisciplinary, and intersectoral. Articles address utility trends and issues in both developed and developing economies. Authors and reviewers come from various disciplines, including economics, political science, sociology, law, finance, accounting, management, and engineering. Areas of focus include the utility and network industries providing essential electricity, natural gas, water and wastewater, solid waste, communications, broadband, postal, and public transportation services. Utilities Policy invites submissions that apply various quantitative and qualitative methods. Contributions are welcome from both established and emerging scholars as well as accomplished practitioners. Interdisciplinary, comparative, and applied works are encouraged. Submissions to the journal should have a clear focus on governance, performance, and/or analysis of public utilities with an aim toward informing the policymaking process and providing recommendations as appropriate. Relevant topics and issues include but are not limited to industry structures and ownership, market design and dynamics, economic development, resource planning, system modeling, accounting and finance, infrastructure investment, supply and demand efficiency, strategic management and productivity, network operations and integration, supply chains, adaptation and flexibility, service-quality standards, benchmarking and metrics, benefit-cost analysis, behavior and incentives, pricing and demand response, economic and environmental regulation, regulatory performance and impact, restructuring and deregulation, and policy institutions.