反思议程设置理论的影响:评估议程设置理论对坦桑尼亚 2020 年大选投票决定的影响

Cezalia Buyanza-Mwidima
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摘要

本研究旨在评估议程设置理论在 2020 年坦桑尼亚总统选举中影响选民投票决定的能力。与其他第三方主导因素(如潜在选民的先验知识、政治派别和情绪)相比,本研究特别旨在确定议程设置理论对投票决策的主导作用。本研究采用 FGD 方法收集定性数据,同时采用调查程序收集定量数据。共进行了五次 FGD,其中包括六至九名信息提供者,同时成功收回了 478 份问卷并用于分析。FGD 采用了目的性抽样程序来确定和选择参与者,而调查则采用了简单随机抽样技术。小组讨论和调查的参与者均来自各选区的选民登记簿(VRB)。数据收集工作于 2020 年 12 月至 2021 年 1 月期间在坦桑尼亚姆万扎市尼亚马加纳区的五个选区进行。数据收集完成后,在进行分析前使用社会解决方案科学软件包(SPSS)20 版对数据进行了编码和清理。研究采用了频率计数、表格、描述、解释和简单百分比等方法来呈现研究结果。研究结果表明,议程设置理论已略微失去其影响力,它已被已有知识(52%)和政党关系(27%)所取代。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Rethinking the Influence of Agenda Setting Theory: An Assessment of the Influence of Agenda Setting Theory in the Voting Decisions during the 2020 General Election in Tanzania
The purpose of this research was to evaluate the agenda setting theory’s ability to affect and impact voters voting decisions during the 2020 Presidential election in Tanzania. The research specifically aimed to ascertain the agenda setting theory’s dominance on the voting decisions in comparison to other dominant third party factors such as prior knowledge, political affiliations and emotions amongst prospective voters. The research used FGD to collect the qualitative data while a survey procedure was used to gather the quantitative data. A total of five FGD were conducted which comprised of between six to nine informants whereas 478 questionnaires were successful returned and used in the analysis. A purposive sampling procedure was used to identify and select participants for the FGD whereas a simple random sampling technique was used for the survey. The participants for both FGD and survey were gotten from the Voter’s Registration Books (VRB) from each wards. The data collection was conducted between December 2020 and January 2021 in the five wards of Nyamagana district in Mwanza, Tanzania. After data collection, the data were coded and cleaned using the Scientific Package for Social Solutions (SPSS) version 20 before analysis. The frequency count, tables, descriptions, explanations, and simple percentage were used to present the research findings. The findings show that Agenda Setting Theory has slightly lost its power, it has been superseded by pre-existing knowledge (52%) and political party affiliations (27%).
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