可计算一般均衡 (CGE) 模型:全面回顾与未来方向

Taiwo Bolarinwa
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本书全面分析了可计算一般均衡(CGE)模型的全貌,探讨了其历史发展、主要组成部分、应用、优势、局限性和未来发展方向。CGE 模型已成为了解现代经济体系复杂动态不可或缺的工具,它提供了一个考虑部门、家庭和政府之间复杂互动的整体视角。本研究揭示了专家咨询小组模型的优势,包括提供全面的经济视角、分析政策互动和纳入行为反应的能力。然而,数据限制和简化假设等挑战也带来了固有的局限性。分析确定了未来大有可为的方向,包括整合机器学习、利用大数据和提高计算能力。通过应对当前的挑战和拥抱这些创新,专家咨询小组模型可以继续在经济分析和决策中发挥关键作用,驾驭动态和不断变化的经济环境的复杂性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Models: A Comprehensive Review and Future Directions
This comprehensive analysis delves into the landscape of Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) models, examining their historical development, key components, applications, strengths, limitations, and future directions. CGE models have become indispensable tools for understanding the intricate dynamics of modern economic systems, offering a holistic perspective that considers the complex interactions among sectors, households, and governments. The study reveals the strengths of CGE models, including their capacity to provide a comprehensive view of the economy, analyse policy interactions, and incorporate behavioural responses. However, challenges such as data limitations and simplifying assumptions pose inherent limitations. The analysis identifies promising future directions, including the integration of machine learning, leveraging big data, and advancing computational power. By addressing current challenges and embracing these innovations, CGE models can continue to play a pivotal role in economic analysis and policymaking, navigating the complexities of a dynamic and evolving economic landscape.
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