估算《烟草-21》对青少年烟草使用和销售的影响

IF 3.4 2区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Journal of Health Economics Pub Date : 2024-02-02 DOI:10.1016/j.jhealeco.2024.102860

Rahi Abouk , Prabal K. De , Michael F. Pesko

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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们研究了将烟草法定最低销售年龄提高到 21 岁（即 "T21"）的影响。我们使用 "监测未来"（MTF）调查数据和尼尔森零售扫描仪 2012 年至 2019 年的数据对差分模型进行了估计。结果包括卷烟和电子烟的使用和销售。我们发现，12 年级学生的电子烟和香烟使用量大幅减少。在 21 岁以下人口比例最高的县，T21 还使卷烟销量减少了 12.4%，电子烟销量减少了 69.3%。在机制方面，我们发现 T21 增加了身份证检查和使用这两种产品的感知风险。

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Estimating the effects of tobacco-21 on youth tobacco use and sales

We examine the effect of raising the minimum legal sale age of tobacco to 21 (i.e., “T21”). We estimate difference-in-differences models using the Monitoring the Future (MTF) survey data and Nielsen Retail Scanner data from 2012 to 2019. Outcomes include cigarette and e-cigarette use and sales. We find sizable reductions in e-cigarette and cigarette use for 12th graders. T21 also reduced cigarette sales by 12.4 % and e-cigarette sales by 69.3 % in counties with the highest percent quartile of individuals under 21 years of age. In terms of mechanisms, we find that T21 increases ID checking and perceived risks of using both products.

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来源期刊

Journal of Health Economics 医学-卫生保健

CiteScore

6.10

自引率

2.90%

发文量

审稿时长

49 days

期刊介绍： This journal seeks articles related to the economics of health and medical care. Its scope will include the following topics: Production and supply of health services; Demand and utilization of health services; Financing of health services; Determinants of health, including investments in health and risky health behaviors; Economic consequences of ill-health; Behavioral models of demanders, suppliers and other health care agencies; Evaluation of policy interventions that yield economic insights; Efficiency and distributional aspects of health policy; and such other topics as the Editors may deem appropriate.