恢复性司法会议能否减少累犯?来自 "改过自新 "计划的证据

IF 6.6 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Econometrica Pub Date : 2024-01-30 DOI:10.3982/ECTA20996
Yotam Shem-Tov, Steven Raphael, Alissa Skog
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文研究了针对 143 名面临中等严重程度重罪指控(如入室盗窃、袭击)的 13 至 17 岁青少年的恢复性司法干预措施的效果。符合条件的青少年被随机分配到 "改过自新"(Make-it-Right,MIR)恢复性司法项目或对照组,前者面临标准的刑事起诉。我们估算了 MIR 对随机分配后四年内青少年再次被逮捕的可能性的影响。与对照组相比,被分配到 MIR 计划的青少年在 6 个月内再次被逮捕的概率降低了 19 个百分点,降幅达 44%。此外,即使在随机分配四年后,再犯率的下降趋势依然存在。因此,我们的估算结果表明,恢复性司法会议可以减少被指控犯有相对严重罪行的青少年的累犯率,是传统刑事司法实践的有效替代方案。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Can Restorative Justice Conferencing Reduce Recidivism? Evidence From the Make-it-Right Program

This paper studies the effect of a restorative justice intervention targeted at 143 youth ages 13 to 17 facing felony charges of medium severity (e.g., burglary, assault). Eligible youths were randomly assigned to participate in the Make-it-Right (MIR) restorative justice program or a control group where they faced standard criminal prosecution. We estimate the effects of MIR on the likelihood that a youth will be rearrested in the four years following randomization. Assignment to MIR reduces the probability of a rearrest within six months by 19 percentage points, a 44 percent reduction relative to the control group. Moreover, the reduction in recidivism persists even four years after randomization. Thus, our estimates show that restorative justice conferencing can reduce recidivism among youth charged with relatively serious offenses and can be an effective alternative to traditional criminal justice practices.

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来源期刊
Econometrica
Econometrica 社会科学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
11.00
自引率
3.30%
发文量
75
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: Econometrica publishes original articles in all branches of economics - theoretical and empirical, abstract and applied, providing wide-ranging coverage across the subject area. It promotes studies that aim at the unification of the theoretical-quantitative and the empirical-quantitative approach to economic problems and that are penetrated by constructive and rigorous thinking. It explores a unique range of topics each year - from the frontier of theoretical developments in many new and important areas, to research on current and applied economic problems, to methodologically innovative, theoretical and applied studies in econometrics. Econometrica maintains a long tradition that submitted articles are refereed carefully and that detailed and thoughtful referee reports are provided to the author as an aid to scientific research, thus ensuring the high calibre of papers found in Econometrica. An international board of editors, together with the referees it has selected, has succeeded in substantially reducing editorial turnaround time, thereby encouraging submissions of the highest quality. We strongly encourage recent Ph. D. graduates to submit their work to Econometrica. Our policy is to take into account the fact that recent graduates are less experienced in the process of writing and submitting papers.
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