Risk stratification for phenoconversion in patients with isolated REM sleep behavior disorder. A follow-up study from Turkey.

Introduction: Isolated rapid eye movement (REM) sleep behavior disorder (iRBD) is one of the strongest prodromal markers of alpha-synucleinopathies. We aimed to investigate non-invasive clinical and quantitative predictors of phenoconversion from iRBD to parkinsonism.

Patients and methods: We prospectively followed-up a total of 45 patients (57.8% men) for eight years. Clinical assessments, Sniffin' Sticks Odor Identification Test, Farnsworth-Munsell 100 Hue Color Vision test, Beck Depression Inventory and Rome III Criteria for constipation were performed. Polysomnographic parameters, sleep spindles, electroencephalographic (EEG) spectral analysis, heart rate variability (HRV) were analyzed.

Results: Eight patients (17.8%) showed phenoconversion to parkinsonism after a mean duration of 3.2 ± 1 years. Odds ratio for predicting phenoconversion was highest for patients =60 years of age with anosmia and constipation -44.8 (4.5-445.7); kappa = 4.291-. Duration, frequency or density of sleep spindles failed to demonstrate significant correlations. In EEG spectral analysis, lower alpha power in occipital region during wakefulness and REM sleep was significantly correlated with phenoconversion. Slowing in EEG spectrum power, together with age =60 years, anosmia and constipation, resulted in the highest odds ratio -122.5 (9.7-1543.8); kappa = 3.051-.

Conclusions: It is of great importance to have a world-wide perspective of phenoconversion rates from iRBD to overt neurodegeneration, since racial and geographical factors may play important modifying roles. Relatively younger age and shorter disease duration may also be confounding factors for lower rate in our study. Neurophysiological biomarkers seem to be important predictors of phenoconversion, though more research is needed to establish subtypes of iRBD with different probabilities of evolution to overt synucleinopathy.