Convined 大肠癌临床预后模型。

IF 2.4 3区 医学 Q2 SURGERY
Updates in Surgery Pub Date : 2024-10-01 Epub Date: 2024-01-18 DOI:10.1007/s13304-023-01690-6
Gallarín Salamanca Isabel María, Espín Jaime María Teresa, Molina Fernández Manuel, Moran Penco Jose Miguel
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目前的结直肠癌(CRC)患者分期系统利用的患者特征相对较少,而可用信息却非常广泛。我们的研究旨在分析可能独立影响 CCR 患者死亡率和复发率的各种变量,并建立生存率和复发率预测模型。我们使用了 288 名接受过 I-III 期结肠癌和直肠上段癌预定手术的患者的数据,构建了 DFS 和五年总 CSS 的 Cox 模型。我们联合研究了临床变量、血清学标记物和组织学变量,旨在找出新的预后因素。我们对获得的每个提名图进行了内部和外部验证。硬膜外侵犯、高血小板淋巴细胞比值(PLR)和 pN 分期是导致复发的独立风险因素。与总 CSS 无关的变量是便血、高血小板淋巴细胞比值和结节受累。我们利用容易获得的数据(临床、分析和组织学变量)创建了一个 5 年复发和死亡率预测模型,这有助于对 CRC 患者进行个性化治疗和随访。我们还进行了充分的内部和外部验证。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Convined clinical prognostic model in colorectal cancer.

Convined clinical prognostic model in colorectal cancer.

Current staging systems in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) utilize relatively few patient characteristics in comparison to the breadth of information available. The objective of our study is to analyze the heterogeneous set of variables that may influence mortality and recurrence independently in patients with CCR, and prepare a predictive model of survival and recurrence. Data from 288 patients who had undergone scheduled surgery for stage I-III cancer of the colon and upper rectum were used to construct Cox models for DFS and overall CSS at five years. We have jointly examined clinical variables, serological markers and histological variables with the aim of identifying new prognostic factors. Internal and external validation was carried out on each of the nomograms obtained. Perineural invasion; high platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and the pN stage were the variables that emerged as an independent risk factor of recurrence. The variables related independently to overall CSS were the presence of blood in stools, high PLR and nodal involvement. We have created a predictive model of recurrence and mortality at 5 years with data that is easily available (clinical, analytical and histological variables) which can help personalize the treatment and follow-up of patients with CRC. We also conducted an adequate internal and external validation.

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来源期刊
Updates in Surgery
Updates in Surgery Medicine-Surgery
CiteScore
4.50
自引率
7.70%
发文量
208
期刊介绍: Updates in Surgery (UPIS) has been founded in 2010 as the official journal of the Italian Society of Surgery. It’s an international, English-language, peer-reviewed journal dedicated to the surgical sciences. Its main goal is to offer a valuable update on the most recent developments of those surgical techniques that are rapidly evolving, forcing the community of surgeons to a rigorous debate and a continuous refinement of standards of care. In this respect position papers on the mostly debated surgical approaches and accreditation criteria have been published and are welcome for the future. Beside its focus on general surgery, the journal draws particular attention to cutting edge topics and emerging surgical fields that are publishing in monothematic issues guest edited by well-known experts. Updates in Surgery has been considering various types of papers: editorials, comprehensive reviews, original studies and technical notes related to specific surgical procedures and techniques on liver, colorectal, gastric, pancreatic, robotic and bariatric surgery.
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