马拉维森林依赖社区对气候变化相关极端事件的适应能力和应对策略的决定因素

IF 2.4 Q2 GEOGRAPHY
Harold L.W. Chisale , Paxie W. Chirwa , Judith Francesca Mangani Kamoto , Folaranmi D. Babalola
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引用次数: 0

摘要

与气候变化相关的极端事件对以森林为基础的生计的可持续性构成了重大威胁。本文分析了马拉维森林居民对气候变化和极端天气事件的适应能力和应对策略。在选择主要信息提供者时采用了目的抽样法,而在进行家庭调查时则采用随机抽样法抽取户主或家中年长成员(n = 422)。问卷调查、访谈和焦点小组讨论被用来收集原始数据。数据分析采用了频数交叉表法、Pearson Chi-square 检验法和二元逻辑回归检验法。结果表明,多年来,在不同的极端气候事件中,森林居民总是采用不同的适应和应对策略。在姆钦吉,在溪流和水井周围进行冬季耕作(Dimba)的比例为 66%,而在曼戈奇(55%),针对干旱和降雨量不稳定的情况,将作物播种期转移到雨季的比例最高。家庭对供水设施和通信服务的满意度决定了受访者对所采用的应对策略的选择。此外,家庭人力资本也提高了森林居民的适应能力。总之,机构服务、社会网络和人力资本资源对于制定气候应对和适应战略非常重要,因此建议采用更具可持续性和变革性的适应和应对战略,以抵御预计的气候变化和与天气有关的事件。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Determinants of adaptive capacities and coping strategies to climate change related extreme events by forest dependent communities in Malawi

Climate change related extreme events present significant threats against the sustainability of forest-based livelihoods. Adaptive capacities and coping strategies of forest residents in Malawi towards climate change and extreme weather events were analyzed. Purposive sampling was used to select key informants while random sampling was employed to sample household heads or older member of the household (n = 422) involved in the household survey. Questionnaire administration, interviews and focus group discussions were used to collect the primary data. Cross tabulation of frequencies, Pearson Chi-square tests, and Binary logistic regression tests were used for the data analysis. Results showed that forest residents have always employed different adaptation and coping strategies during different climate extreme events over the years. Winter cropping (Dimba) around streams and wells, scored 66 % in Mchinji whilst the shifting of crop planting periods to coincide with rainy seasons topped the list in Mangochi (55 %) against droughts and erratic rainfall, respectively. Household satisfaction with water supply facilities and communication services dictated the respondents’ choice of the coping strategies employed. Furthermore, household human capital enhanced the adaptive capacity of forest residents. In conclusion, institutional services, social networks and human capital resources are important in devising climate coping and adaptation strategies hence recommending for more sustainable and transformative adaptation and coping strategies that can withstand projected climate change and weather-related events.

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来源期刊
Wellbeing Space and Society
Wellbeing Space and Society Social Sciences-Social Sciences (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
2.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
46
审稿时长
124 days
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