总统候选人宣言对印度尼西亚资本市场动态的影响》:

Dedi Junaedi, Rio Kartika Supriyatna, M. Arsyad, Faisal Salistia, Sholikul Hadi, Abdoel Husenudin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在分析总统和副总统候选人的宣布对印度尼西亚资本市场动态的影响。采用的方法是多重虚拟变量回归的定量分析方法。结果证明,总统和副总统候选人的宣布对印尼资本市场的动态有显著影响。传统股票指数(综合指数和 LQ45 指数)和伊斯兰教法股票指数(JII70 指数和 ISSI 指数)的走势受到 2024 年大选总统和副总统候选人对的宣布的显著影响,相关性相当强(综合指数为 0.6242,LQ45 指数为 0.6805,JII70 指数为 0.7968,ISSI 指数为 0.5181)。Anies-Muhaimin 货币对(Capres1)的宣布与综合股价指数、LQ45、JII70 和 ISSI 的变动呈正相关。同时,甘贾尔-马赫福兹配对(Capres 2)和普拉博沃-吉布兰配对的申报与综合股票指数的变动呈负相关。研究事实表明,资本市场对 1 号配对(Anyes-Muhainin)的宣布做出了积极反应。另一方面,资本市场对 2 号配对(Prabowo-Gibran)和 3 号配对(Ganjar-Mahfudz)的申报做出了负面反应。普拉博沃-吉卜兰配对申报后,资本市场承受了更大的压力。与甘加尔-马赫福兹配对和安尼-阿明配对相比,普拉博沃-吉卜兰的市场压力更大。 关键词:总统和副总统候选人宣布;传统资本市场;伊斯兰教资本市场
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Dampak Deklarasi Capres-Cawapres terhadap Dinamika Pasar Modal di Indonesia:
This research aims to analyze the impact of the declaration of the presidential and vice presidential candidates on the dynamics of the capital market in Indonesia. The method used is quantitative analysis with a multiple dummy variable regression approach. The results prove that the declaration of the presidential and vice presidential candidates has a significant impact on the dynamics of the capital market in Indonesia. The movements of conventional stock indices (Composite and LQ45) and sharia stock indices (JII70 and ISSI) are significantly influenced by the declaration of the presidential and vice presidential candidate pairs for the 2024 Election, with quite strong correlations (Composite 0.6242, LQ45 0.6805, JII70 0.7968, and ISSI 0.5181). The declaration of the Anies-Muhaimin pair (Capres1) is positively correlated with the movement of the Composite stock index, LQ45, JII70 and ISSI. Meanwhile, the declaration of the Ganjar-Mahfudz pair (Capres 2) and the Prabowo-Gibran pair had a negative correlation with the movement of the Composite stock index. Research facts show that the capital market responded positively to the declaration of pair number 1 (Anies-Muhainin). On the other hand, the capital market responded negatively to the declarations of pair Number 2 (Prabowo-Gibran) and pair Number 3 (Ganjar-Mahfudz). The capital market was under greater pressure after the Prabowo-Gibran pair was declared. Market pressure is greater on Prabowo-Gibran compared to the Ganjar-Mahfudz pair and the Anies-Amin pair. Keywords: presidential and vice presidential candidate declaration, conventional capital market, sharia capital market
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