COVID-19 大流行期间私人和公共举措对个人就业和收入的影响:秘鲁的证据

S. Mongrut, Vivian Cruz, Daniela Pacussich
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摘要

本文旨在确定秘鲁 COVID-19 大流行期间私人和公共举措(金融扫盲、创业、远程工作和政府援助)对个人失业和收入减少的影响。由于因变量是二进制的,因此使用 probit 面板数据模型对假设进行了检验。研究结果研究结果表明,财务准备降低了收入减少的概率,但仅限于利马大都市的非正规工人。此外,在利马大都市,创业主要帮助女性非正规工人降低了失业概率。此外,在利马大都市,以远程工作替代面对面工作不足以避免非正规工人收入减少,而只能有效避免正规工人失业。最后,公共援助被证明有助于缓解收入的减少,但只适用于利马大都市的非正规工人。社会意义政策制定者必须扩大失业福利,并设计针对各省非正规工人的公共援助计划。原创性/价值这是第一项分析 COVID-19 大流行爆发期间私人和公共举措对秘鲁个人收入减少和失业状况影响的研究。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of private and public initiatives on individuals' employment and income during the COVID-19 pandemic: evidence from Peru
Purpose The purpose of this paper is to determine the impact of private and public initiatives (financial literacy, entrepreneurship, remote work and government aid) on individual job loss and decrease in income during the COVID-19 pandemic in Peru.Design/methodology/approach The authors used an unbalanced panel data analysis with the National Household Survey for 2019–2020. The hypotheses are tested with a probit panel data model since the dependent variables are binary.FindingsThe study findings indicate that financial preparedness reduced the probability of having a decrease in income, but only to informal workers in metropolitan Lima. Furthermore, entrepreneurship helped mainly female informal workers to reduce their probability of becoming unemployed in metropolitan Lima. Besides, the implementation of remote work as a substitute of face-to-face work was not enough to avoid the decrease in income in the case of informal workers and it was only effective to avoid unemployment in the case of formal workers in metropolitan Lima. Finally, public aid proved to be instrumental in mitigating the decrease in income, but only to informal workers in Metropolitan Lima.Research limitations/implications The study results only apply for the first year of the pandemic.Practical implicationsPolicymakers should focus on increasing the financial preparedness of informal workers, especially in provinces.Social implicationsPolicymakers must expand unemployment benefits, and design public aid programs targeting informal workers in provinces.Originality/valueThis is the first study that analyses the impact of private and public initiatives on the decrease in income and unemployment situation of Peruvian individuals during the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic.
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