探索旅游业、信息通信技术与经济增长之间的关系:尼日利亚案例研究

Ifeoluwa Alao-Owunna, Olamide M. Adediwura, Olabisi S. Ayoade
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究调查了 1995 年至 2021 年期间经济增长与旅游业以及信息和通信技术(ICT)之间的关系。利用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)过程和增强的索洛框架进行协整分析,我们研究了这些变量是如何相互作用的。研究结果表明,当这三个变量被迫相互依赖时,经济增长、作为旅游业替代变量的外国旅游收入以及表明信息和通信技术普及程度的移动电话订户都显示出协整关系。在 1%的水平上,信息与通信技术和旅游业都具有长期统计意义上的影响。ICT 和旅游业的短期系数分别为 0.006 和 0.03。此外,在 1%的水平上,旅游收入与信息和通信技术的交互项(LNTOUR*MCS)具有长期系数(0.148),表明对经济增长具有积极的统计意义上的影响。这一发现突出了促进技术发展与旅游业增长之间互利互动的重要性,而技术发展与旅游业增长是尼日利亚经济繁荣的关键因素。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Exploring the Nexus among Tourism, Information Communication Technology and Economic Growth: A Case Study of Nigeria
The research investigates the relationship between economic growth and tourism as well as information and communications technology (ICT) between 1995 and 2021. Using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) process and an enhanced Solow framework for cointegration analysis; we examine how these variables interact. The findings demonstrate that, when all three are forced to depend on one another, economic growth, foreign tourism receipts—which act as a stand-in for tourism—and mobile cellular subscriptions—which indicate the pervasiveness of ICT—all display cointegration. At the 1% level, both ICT and tourism have long-term statistically significant effects. ICT and tourism have short-run coefficients of 0.006 and 0.03 respectively. Furthermore, at the 1% level, the interaction term (LNTOUR*MCS) of tourism receipts and ICT is associated with a long-run coefficient (0.148) that indicates a positive and statistically significant effect on economic growth. This finding highlights the importance of fostering the mutually beneficial interaction between the development of technology and the growth of the tourist industry as key factors in Nigeria's economic prosperity.
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