接驳列车之间的换乘时间长度--有没有一个理想值?

Jan Froněk, Jaroslav Chlumecký, Daniel Vymětal
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引用次数: 0

摘要

优质的公共交通是全球流动性的重要组成部分。一般来说,人们努力确保尽可能多的交通用户使用公共交通。公共交通子系统还包括铁路运输。如今,乘坐火车不仅是为了克服国内和国际交通中的长距离问题,也是日常上下班、上学或服务的问题。市郊铁路运输通常是综合运输系统的一部分,其原则是一张车票可以在一次旅程中使用多种运输工具。这些系统能否正常运行的一个指标是,是否存在优质、便捷的换乘时间和可靠的换乘链接,从而最大限度地减少等候时间和花费在交通上的总时间。在这些系统中,没有特定网络的最长换乘时间,通常取决于换乘点的技术解决方案、乘客在车辆之间的距离或值机技术(如前门登机、旋转门等)。换乘时间的理想值是乘客不会错过接驳的概率,同时也代表了对这一问题的不同看法。这是以捷克共和国最繁忙的奥斯特拉发-布拉格这条特定线路为例。在此范围内,将选择两条参考线路(每个方向一条),确定有连接线路的车站的延误平均值和其他统计指标。此外,还将使用蒙特卡洛方法对列车延误进行模拟,从中确定接驳的概率,随后在保持现有接驳的情况下确定对线路的不满意程度。由此确定一个换乘时间,在这个时间内,通过的概率尽可能低,同时在正常情况下,乘客不必等待太长时间。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Length of transfer time between connecting trains – is there an ideal value?
Quality public transport is an essential part of global mobility. In general, there is an effort to ensure that as many transport users as possible use public transport. The public transport subsystems also include rail transport. Nowadays, traveling by train is not only a matter of overcoming longer distances in national and international transport, but also a matter of daily commuting to work, school or service. Suburban rail transport is usually part of integrated transport systems, the principle of which is the possibility to use several types of means of transport in one journey per ticket. An indicator of the proper functioning of these systems is the existence of quality and convenient transfer dates times and reliable transfer links that minimize waiting times and total time spent on transportation. Within these systems, there is no network-specific maximum transfer time, which usually depends on the technical solution of the transfer point, the distance that passengers have to cover between vehicles or check-in technology (for example, front door boarding, turnstiles, etc.). the ideal value of the transfer time in terms of the probability that the passenger will not miss the connection and at the same time represents different aspects of the view of this issue. This is on the specific route Ostrava – Prague, which is the busiest in the Czech Republic. Within it, two reference links will be selected (one for each direction), the mean value of the delay in the stations with connections and other statistical indicators will be determined. Furthermore, a simulation of train delays is created using the Monte Carlo method, from which the probability of a connection is determined and subsequently the degree of dissatisfaction with the route is determined while maintaining the current connections. From which a transfer time is subsequently identified in which the probability of passing is as low as possible, but at the same time in normal situations passengers do not have to wait too long.
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