基于旅游业的环境库兹涅茨曲线假说:土耳其经济的证据

H. Şeker, Melahat Avşar
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摘要

本研究旨在根据 1975-2018 年的立方体数据,通过观察旅游业指标对环境的影响,确定旅游业对环境污染的影响,并检验土耳其经济环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)假说的有效性。我们利用 ARDL 限度检验分析了人均生态足迹、国际游客到访量、人均 GDP、社会全球化指数和城市化率之间的相关性。根据我们的研究,我们发现有证据表明,在研究期间,游客抵达人数与土耳其经济中的生态足迹之间存在 N 型相关关系。这与短期和长期的倒 U 型库兹涅茨曲线的观点相矛盾。我们的研究结果表明,需要制定国内和国家政策来治理污染,而不是浪费时间,等待游客到访量与环境污染之间的关系在某个里程碑之后结束。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Tourism-Based Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis: Evidence From the Turkish Economy
This study aimed to determine the impact of tourism on environmental pollution and test the validity of the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis for the Turkish economy based on data from 1975–2018 in cubic form by observing the impacts of tourism indicators on the environment. We analyzed the correlations among per-capita ecological footprint, international tourist arrivals, per capita GDP, the social globalization index, and urbanization rate using the ARDL limit test. Based on our research, we have found evidence that during the study period, there is an N-shaped correlation between tourist arrivals and ecological footprint in the Turkish economy. This contradicts the idea of an inverted U-shaped Kuznets curve for both the short- and long-term. Our findings reveal that domestic and national policies to fight against pollution need to be developed rather than wasting time by waiting for the end of the relationship between tourist arrivals and environmental pollution after a certain milestone.
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