Critical Sample-Size Analysis for Uncertainty Aerodynamic Evaluation of Compressor Blades with Stagger-Angle Errors

Many probability-based uncertainty quantification (UQ) schemes require a large amount of sampled data to build credible probability density function (PDF) models for uncertain parameters. Unfortunately, the amounts of data collected as to compressor blades of aero-engines are mostly limited due to the expensive and time-consuming tests. In this paper, we develop a preconditioner-based data-driven polynomial chaos (PDDPC) method that can efficiently deal with uncertainty propagation of limited amounts of sampled data. The calculation accuracy of a PDDPC method is closely related to the sample size of collected data. Therefore, the influence of sample size on this PDDPC method is investigated using a nonlinear test function. Subsequently, we consider the real manufacturing errors in stagger angles for compressor blades. Under three different operating conditions, the PDDPC method is applied to investigate the effect of stagger-angle error on UQ results of multiple aerodynamic parameters of a two-dimensional compressor blade. The results show that as the sample-size of measured data increases, UQ results regarding aerodynamic performance obtained by the PDDPC method gradually converge. There exists a critical sample size that ensures accurate UQ analysis of compressor blades. The probability information contained in the machining error data is analyzed through Kullback–Leibler divergence, and the critical sample size is determined. The research results can serve as a valuable reference for the fast and cheap UQ analysis of compressor blades in practical engineering.