因盗窃和破坏而对铁路基础设施造成损害的风险

Filip Janowiec, Tomasz Kula
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引用次数: 0

摘要

盗窃和破坏铁路基础设施是影响铁路运输系统安全的最重要因素之一。2021 年,波兰的铁路旅客运输量为 2.451 亿人次,货物运输量为 2.436 亿吨,因此确保最大可能的安全标准极为重要。铁路基础设施的盗窃和破坏给铁路网络管理者造成了巨大的物质损失。据估计,每年重建铁路设备的费用高达数百万兹罗提。它们还影响铁路交通的正常运行。由于这种现象,客运和货运列车出现延误,2021 年延误总时长超过 10 万分钟。因此,这种流氓行为的影响也波及到铁路的乘客和商业客户。本文试图描述盗窃和破坏铁路基础设施对铁路安全和波兰铁路线运营的影响。通过分析现有的统计数据和使用 CSM 方法,并进行一定的简化,可以利用实践中使用的技术来确定大致的风险水平。根据所采用的风险参考水平,可以观察到负面现象发生的概率及其后果都在系统性地降低。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Risk of Damage to Reailway Infrastructure Due to Theft and Devastation
Theft and devastation of railway infrastructure are one of the most important factors that affect the safety of the railway transport system. In Poland, the railway transported 245.1 million passengers and 243.6 million tons of cargo in 2021, so it is extremely important to ensure the maximum possible safety standards. Theft and devastation of railway infrastructure contribute to significant material damage to railway network managers. The costs of rebuilding railway equipment are estimated at millions of zlotys every year. They also influence the proper functioning of railway traffic. Due to this phenomenon, there are delays of passenger and freight trains, the total of which amounted to over 100,000 minutes in 2021. Therefore, the effects of such hooligan acts also affect passengers and commercial customers of the railways. The article is an attempt to describe the impact of theft and devastation of railway infrastructure on its safety and the operation of railway lines in Poland. By analyzing the available statistical data and using the CSM method, as well as applying certain simplifications, it was possible to determine the approximate level of risk using techniques used in practice. Based on the adopted risk reference levels, a systematic reduction in both the probability of occurrence of negative phenomena and their consequences was observed.
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