移民的社会人口问题及其对俄罗斯南部地区可持续发展的影响

IF 0.1 Q4 ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
O. Chernova
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引用次数: 0

摘要

导言。这项研究之所以具有现实意义,是因为人口迁移在确保地区发展方面发挥着重要作用。同时,移民的经济后果在很大程度上取决于移民流的特点。本文旨在确定俄罗斯南部地区移民潮的社会人口特征对其可持续发展指标的影响。 材料与方法在分析移民潮的社会人口特征时使用了描述性统计方法。为了检验移民潮的社会人口特征对地区发展可持续性影响的假设,使用 Excel 工具对面板数据进行了相关性分析。信息来源于联邦国家统计局关于南部联邦区各地区的数据,从 2002 年到 2021 年进行了动态追踪。 研究结果结果表明,俄罗斯南部地区的移民进程对其可持续发展的各个组成部分既有积极影响,也有消极影响。这种影响的强度和方向在很大程度上取决于移民潮的社会人口特征。几乎所有地区的移民指标与可持续发展的经济和环境指标之间都存在密切的正相关关系。对社会领域的影响是矛盾的。同时,移民潮的性别特征对生活的社会生态方面也有相当大的影响。 讨论与结论。只有同时解决创造就业、改善社会条件和保护环境等问题,移民才有助于提高地区经济 发展的可持续性。研究结果强调,地区当局在制定社会经济发展战略时,有必要考虑到移民潮的社会人口结构,这在地缘政治日益不稳定的情况下是有用的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Socio-Demographic Aspects of Migration and Their Impact on the Sustainability of the Development of Southern Russian Regions
Introduction. The relevance of the study is due to the significant role of population migration in ensuring regional development. At the same time, the economic consequences of migration are largely determined by the characteristics of migration flows. The purpose of this article is to determine the impact of socio-demographic features of migration flows in the southern Russian regions on the indicators of their sustainable development. Materials and Methods. Methods of descriptive statistics were used in the analysis of socio-demographic characteristics of migration flows. To test the hypothesis about the impact of socio-demographic characteristics of migration flows on the sustainability of regional development, a correlation analysis of panel data using Excel tools was used. The source of the information was the data of the Federal State Statistics Service for the regions of the Southern Federal District, traced in dynamics from 2002 to 2021. Results. It is established that migration processes in the southern Russian regions demonstrate both positive and negative effects on individual components of their sustainable development. The strength and direction of this impact is largely determined by the socio-demographic characteristics of migration flows. A strong positive relationship between migration indicators and economic and environmental indicators of sustainable development is demonstrated for almost all regions. The impact on the social sphere is ambivalent. At the same time, there is a rather strong influence of the gender characteristics of migration flows on the socio-ecological aspects of life. Discussion and Conclusion. Migration will contribute to increasing the sustainability of the development of regional economies only while simultaneously solving the tasks of creating jobs, improving social conditions and preserving the environment. The findings emphasize the need for regional authorities to take into account the socio-demographic structure of migration flows when developing strategies for socio-economic development and can be useful in conditions of increasing geopolitical instability.
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来源期刊
Engineering Technologies and Systems
Engineering Technologies and Systems ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY-
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33.30%
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