南极洲南大洋淡水输入(SOFIA)倡议:科学目标和实验设计

IF 4 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
Neil C. Swart, Torge Martin, Rebecca Beadling, Jia‐Jia Chen, Christopher Danek, Matthew H. England, R. Farneti, S. Griffies, T. Hattermann, Judith Hauck, F. Haumann, A. Jüling, Qian Li, John Marshall, Morven Muilwijk, Andrew G. Pauling, A. Purich, Inga J. Smith, Max Thomas
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要随着气候变暖,南极洲周围的接地冰盖和浮冰架正在融化,并向南大洋释放出更多淡水。然而,几乎所有现有的耦合气候模型都有固定的冰盖,缺乏表示南极融化主要来源所需的物理学。这些缺失的冰动力学是一个关键的不确定性因素,在目前的全球气候变化预测中通常没有考虑到这一点。以前的建模研究施加了额外的南极融水,结果表明对南大洋分层、环流和海冰产生了区域性影响,并对大气环流、热带降水和全球温度产生了远距离变化。不过,这些研究使用的淡水强迫率差别很大,采用的气候模式和配置也不尽相同,对融水-气候反馈作用的大小也得出了不同的结论。来自南极的南大洋淡水输入(SOFIA)计划汇集了一个科学家团队,以量化气候系统对南极融水输入的响应以及不确定性的关键方面。在本文中,我们总结了有关南极冰盖和冰架向南大洋排放融水的知识现状,并解释了我们倡议的科学目标。我们提出了一系列耦合和海洋-海冰模型实验,包括理想化融水实验、与观测结果一致的融水输入历史实验,以及由独立冰盖模型得出的融水输入驱动的未来情景。通过协调多模型模拟集合,采用共同的实验设计、开放数据存档和促进科学合作,SOFIA 旨在推动社区更好地了解气候系统对南极融化的响应。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Southern Ocean Freshwater Input from Antarctica (SOFIA) Initiative: scientific objectives and experimental design
Abstract. As the climate warms, the grounded ice sheet and floating ice shelves surrounding Antarctica are melting and releasing additional freshwater into the Southern Ocean. Nonetheless, almost all existing coupled climate models have fixed ice sheets and lack the physics required to represent the dominant sources of Antarctic melt. These missing ice dynamics represent a key uncertainty that is typically unaccounted for in current global climate change projections. Previous modelling studies that have imposed additional Antarctic meltwater have demonstrated regional impacts on Southern Ocean stratification, circulation, and sea ice, as well as remote changes in atmospheric circulation, tropical precipitation, and global temperature. However, these previous studies have used widely varying rates of freshwater forcing, have been conducted using different climate models and configurations, and have reached differing conclusions on the magnitude of meltwater–climate feedbacks. The Southern Ocean Freshwater Input from Antarctica (SOFIA) initiative brings together a team of scientists to quantify the climate system response to Antarctic meltwater input along with key aspects of the uncertainty. In this paper, we summarize the state of knowledge on meltwater discharge from the Antarctic ice sheet and ice shelves to the Southern Ocean and explain the scientific objectives of our initiative. We propose a series of coupled and ocean–sea ice model experiments, including idealized meltwater experiments, historical experiments with observationally consistent meltwater input, and future scenarios driven by meltwater inputs derived from stand-alone ice sheet models. Through coordinating a multi-model ensemble of simulations using a common experimental design, open data archiving, and facilitating scientific collaboration, SOFIA aims to move the community toward better constraining our understanding of the climate system response to Antarctic melt.
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来源期刊
Geoscientific Model Development
Geoscientific Model Development GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY-
CiteScore
8.60
自引率
9.80%
发文量
352
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: Geoscientific Model Development (GMD) is an international scientific journal dedicated to the publication and public discussion of the description, development, and evaluation of numerical models of the Earth system and its components. The following manuscript types can be considered for peer-reviewed publication: * geoscientific model descriptions, from statistical models to box models to GCMs; * development and technical papers, describing developments such as new parameterizations or technical aspects of running models such as the reproducibility of results; * new methods for assessment of models, including work on developing new metrics for assessing model performance and novel ways of comparing model results with observational data; * papers describing new standard experiments for assessing model performance or novel ways of comparing model results with observational data; * model experiment descriptions, including experimental details and project protocols; * full evaluations of previously published models.
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