欧洲野牛数量下降、分布范围缩小和濒临灭绝的千年过程

July A. Pilowsky, Stuart C. Brown, B. Llamas, Ayla L. van Loenen, Rafał Kowalczyk, Emilia Hofman-Kamińska, Ninna H. Manaseryan, Viorelia Rusu, Matija Križnar, Carsten Rahbek, Damien A. Fordham
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引用次数: 0

摘要

欧洲野牛(bison bonasus)在更新世晚期广泛分布于整个欧洲。然而,环境变化和人类对它们濒临灭绝的贡献从未得到解决。利用过程明确的模型、化石和古代DNA,我们在空间和时间上理清了导致欧洲野牛数量下降和区域灭绝的威胁过程的组合。我们的研究表明,在更新世末期,欧洲野牛的种群规模急剧下降,这是对快速环境变化、人类狩猎及其相互作用的反应。尽管环境条件有所改善,但人类活动阻止了欧洲野牛种群在全新世的反弹。狩猎导致其分布的北部和东部的范围减少,而土地利用变化导致其分布的西部和南部的范围减少。要模拟1870年的低丰度,需要公元1500年狩猎技术的进步。虽然我们的研究结果表明,人类是野生欧洲野牛灭绝的重要驱动因素,但由于冰川后的环境变化,更新世-全新世过渡期间,其活动范围的大片地区消失了。几千年来,这些地区的气候一直不适合它们的生存,因此不应该考虑重新引进它们。
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Millennial processes of population decline, range contraction and near extinction of the European bison
European bison (Bison bonasus) were widespread throughout Europe during the late Pleistocene. However, the contributions of environmental change and humans to their near extinction have never been resolved. Using process-explicit models, fossils and ancient DNA, we disentangle the combinations of threatening processes that drove population declines and regional extinctions of European bison through space and across time. We show that the population size of European bison declined abruptly at the termination of the Pleistocene in response to rapid environmental change, hunting by humans and their interaction. Human activities prevented populations of European bison from rebounding in the Holocene, despite improved environmental conditions. Hunting caused range loss in the north and east of its distribution, while land use change was responsible for losses in the west and south. Advances in hunting technologies from 1500 CE were needed to simulate low abundances observed in 1870 CE. While our findings show that humans were an important driver of the extinction of the European bison in the wild, vast areas of its range vanished during the Pleistocene–Holocene transition because of post-glacial environmental change. These areas of its former range have been climatically unsuitable for millennia and should not be considered in reintroduction efforts.
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