再生产模式转变理论:货币的非永恒性和经济周期从何而来?

IF 0.7 Q3 ECONOMICS
E. L. Goryunov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

再生产模式转换理论是一个相对较新的非正统宏观经济理论分支。smr模型有两个独特的特性:它们允许内生的经济周期,并在长期内具有货币的非中性。后一属性意味着在smr模型中,货币扩张可以有效地刺激经济增长。smr模型(一个复杂的微分方程组)的原始形式使其难以进行一般的理论分析。在本文中,我提出了离散时间smr模型的一个更简单的版本,在某些假设下,推导出了一个显式的封闭形式解。我使用的形式主义接近宏观经济主流所接受的形式主义。原始smr模型的所有关键结构特征都被保留,并且构建的模型具有上述两个属性。该模型用于确定导致存在波动和货币非中性的特定假设。研究表明,内生波动与固定资本形成和折旧过程的非常具体和不完全现实的假设有关。本文还揭示了smr理论中货币的非中性源于金融约束是投资过程的唯一约束的假设。同样,这一假设也可以被重新表述为一种假设,即无限的劳动力供给,以及货币扩张的特殊能力来利用它。如果在模型中加入有限劳动力供给的条件,货币将趋于中性,货币刺激将失去效用。在此基础上,对原始srm理论作者所主张的依靠货币宽松来加速经济增长的建议提出了质疑。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Theory of the shifting modes of reproduction: Where do the non-nuetrality of money and economic cycles come from?
The theory of switching modes of reproduction (SMR) is a relatively new branch of heterodox macroeconomic theory. The SMR-models have two distinctive properties: they allow endogenous economic cycles and posess non-neutrality of money in the long term. The latter property means that in the SMR-models monetary expansion can effectively stimulate economic growth. The original form of the SMR-models (a complicated system of differential equations) makes them difficult for general theoretical analysis. In this article I propose a simpler version of the SMR-model in discrete time, for which, under certain assumptions, an explicit closed-form solution is derived. I use a formalism that is close to that accepted in the macroeconomic mainstream. All key structural features of the original SMR-model were retained, and the constructed model has the two properties mentioned. The model is used to identify particular assumptions that lead to existence of fluctuations and non-neutrality of money. It is shown that endogenous fluctuations are associated with very specific and not entirely realistic assumptions about the process of formation and depreciation of fixed capital. It is also revealed that the non-neutrality of money in the SMR-theory arises from the assumption that financial constraints are the only constraints of the investment process. Equivalently, this assumption can be re-formulated as a postulate of the unlimited labor supply with the exceptional ability of monetary expansion to employ it. If we adjust the model by adding the condition of limited labor supply, then money becomes neutral, and monetary stimulus loses its effectiveness. Based on the findings, the recommendation to rely on monetary easing in order to accelerate economic growth which is advocated by the authors of the original SRM-theory is called into question.
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来源期刊
Voprosy Ekonomiki
Voprosy Ekonomiki ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
1.80
自引率
25.00%
发文量
86
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