从报纸报道看腐败对伊朗内部冲突的影响

IF 1.6 3区经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS

Defence and Peace Economics Pub Date : 2022-08-07 DOI:10.1080/10242694.2022.2108571

Mohammad Reza Farzanegan, Reza Zamani

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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要本文采用一种基于报纸报道的新型腐败衡量方法，研究了腐败反映指数对伊朗内部冲突的影响。我们使用向量自回归(VAR)模型及其应用的脉冲响应和方差分解分析工具来跟踪抗议对腐败水平冲击的反应。利用1962年至2019年的年度数据，我们发现抗议活动对基于新闻的腐败反映指数的积极冲击有积极而显著的反应。我们还表明，经济增长和军费开支是腐败加剧可能导致内部抗议加剧的主要渠道。

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The Effect of Corruption on Internal Conflict in Iran Using Newspaper Coverage

ABSTRACT

We study the effect of a corruption reflection index on internal conflict in Iran using a novel measure of corruption based on newspaper coverage. We use the Vector Autoregression (VAR) model and its applied tools of impulse response and variance decomposition analyses to track the response of protests to shocks in corruption levels. Using annual data from 1962 to 2019, we find a positive and significant response of protests to a positive shock in the news-based corruption reflection index. We also show that economic growth and military spending are the main channels where higher corruption may lead to higher internal protests.

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来源期刊

Defence and Peace Economics ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

4.00

自引率

18.80%

发文量

期刊介绍： Defence and Peace Economics embraces all aspects of the economics of defence, disarmament, conversion and peace. Examples include the study of alliances and burden-sharing; military spending in developed and developing nations; arms races; terrorism; country surveys; the impact of disarmament on employment and unemployment; the prospects for conversion and the role of public policy in assisting the transition; the costs and benefits of arms control regimes; the arms trade; economic sanctions; the role of the United Nations.