良性忽视还是恶性选择?:关贸总协定/世贸组织的进入成本

IF 1 Q3 ECONOMICS
KeukJe Sung
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引用次数: 0

摘要

世界贸易组织成立于1995年,截至2017年12月,已有36个新成员加入。因此,与原有成员国相比,新成员国的市场开放水平是更高还是更低,这将是一件有趣的事情。在这方面,需要一个复杂的评分方案来量化市场开放承诺。在对原有构件建立适当的计量模型后,可以将相同的模型应用于新构件进行比较。研究发现,新成员的承诺水平比原成员高得多。此外,还发现转型期经济体比非转型期经济体承诺的数额更高。更有趣的发现是,在新成员中,经济规模越大或交易量越大,承诺水平越接近预测水平。那么问题是,这种差异是由于新成员的良性忽视,还是由于原成员的恶性选择。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Benign Neglect or Malign Select?: Entry Cost to GATS/WTO
WTO was established in 1995 and as many as 36 new members joined WTO until December 2017. Thus it would be interesting to see if new members have committed higher or lower levels of market opening compared to the original members. In this regard, a sophisticated scoring scheme is needed to quantify market opening commitments. After proper econometric model is established for the original members, same model can be applied to the new members for comparison. It was found that new members committed a much higher level of commitment than the original members. In addition, it was also found that transition economies committed higher levels than the non-transition economies. More interesting finding is that among the new members, the larger the economies or the larger the trading volume are, the closer was the level of commitment to the predicted level. Then the question is whether this difference was due to benign neglect by the new members or due to malign select by the original members.
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