人口是否决定了房地产活动的动态?西班牙案例的协整分析

IF 0.6 4区经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS

Investigacion Economica Pub Date : 2016-07-01 DOI:10.1016/j.inveco.2016.08.003

Montserrat Díaz Fernández, Mar Llorente Marrón, Paz Méndez Rodríguez

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引用次数: 4

摘要

本文分析了1986-2015年期间西班牙房地产周期与动态人口之间的动态相互作用模型。经验证据是根据传统的时间序列研究方法进行评估的。给出了允许考虑变量短期和长期动态调整的模型误差校正(MEC)。评估了长期影响对短期影响的范围。由此产生的模型检测到两个系列之间的长期平衡，协整方程。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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¿Condiciona la población la dinámica de la actividad inmobiliaria? Un análisis de cointegración para el caso español

A model of dynamic interplay between the real estate cycle and dynamic population in Spain is analyzed for the period 1986-2015. The empirical evidence is evaluated according to the traditional methodology of time series studies. A model error correction (MEC) that allows to consider the dynamic adjustment of the variable short and long term is specified. The domain of the long-term effect on the short term is evaluated. The resulting model detects a long-term equilibrium between the two series, cointegrating equation.

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来源期刊

Investigacion Economica ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

1.00

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： It is a specialized journal, bilingual (Spanish and English), plural and critical, which accepts and publishes scientific research articles in national and international economy. It is considered a public good that belongs to the University and society. Its vocation is to analyze the evolution of the theoretical and practical economics. In its pages the paradigms of economics, history of economic thought, the theories and debates about economic policy and its consequences, the diagnosis of the Mexican economy, the economic development of Latin America and the problems spread the world economy in general. It is a journal that does not discriminate plural none paradigm; theoretical orientation is unorthodox for epistemological reasons, not ideological preferences.