非车道异构交通下城市环形交叉口碰撞严重程度影响因素分析

IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH
V S Vinayaraj, Vedagiri Perumal
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引用次数: 0

摘要

研究了关键碰撞因素,建立了非车道异构交通环形交叉路口及其附近安全评价的碰撞严重程度模型。根据2015-2019年间收集的印度20个环形交叉路口的碰撞数据,开发了一个有序概率模型。分析揭示了决定环形交叉路口碰撞结果严重程度的关键影响参数,即铭文圈直径、中心岛高度、循环车道数量、是否存在分隔岛和中位数、张贴速度限制、碰撞类型、违规行为类型、碰撞伙伴、碰撞模式、是否存在车道标记、是否存在路灯和受害者年龄。为了精确量化各显著因子的影响,还进行了边际效应分析。结果表明:角度碰撞致伤概率增加14.28%,碰撞行人致伤概率增加15%,碰撞方式致伤概率增加20.6%,碰撞伙伴致伤概率增加15.60%,追尾致伤概率最高,为17%,侧擦致伤概率次之,分别为16%。本研究的发现有助于制定有效的补救措施,以减少环形交叉路口道路使用者的碰撞严重程度,并在考虑安全感知的情况下更新环形交叉路口的设计标准。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analyzing the factors affecting the crash severity level at urban roundabouts in non-lane-based heterogeneous traffic.

Pivotal crash factors are investigated, and crash-severity model for the safety assessment at roundabouts and its vicinity in non-lane based heterogenous traffic is developed. An ordered-probit model was developed using crash-data collected between 2015-2019 for 20 roundabouts in India. The analysis revealed critical influencing parameters for determining the severity-level of crash outcomes at roundabouts, namely, inscribed-circle diameter, height of central island, number of circulatory lanes, presence of splitter island and median, posted-speed limit, type of collision, type of violation behaviour, collision partner, the pattern of collision, presence of road lane-marking, presence of street-light and age of victims. To precisely quantify the impact of each significant factor, marginal effects analysis was also carried out. The results show that the probability of fatal-injuries increased by 14.28% due to angle-collision, 15% for hit-pedestrians, 20.6% due to the pattern of collision and 15.60% due to the collision-partner, Whereas the probability of occurrence of grievous injury was the highest for rear-end with 17%, followed by sideswipe collision with 16% respectively. This study's findings can aid in developing effective remedies to reduce the crash severity for roundabouts road-users and updating the roundabout design standards, considering the safety perceptive.

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来源期刊
International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion
International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH-
CiteScore
4.40
自引率
13.00%
发文量
48
期刊介绍: International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion (formerly Injury Control and Safety Promotion) publishes articles concerning all phases of injury control, including prevention, acute care and rehabilitation. Specifically, this journal will publish articles that for each type of injury: •describe the problem •analyse the causes and risk factors •discuss the design and evaluation of solutions •describe the implementation of effective programs and policies The journal encompasses all causes of fatal and non-fatal injury, including injuries related to: •transport •school and work •home and leisure activities •sport •violence and assault
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