绿地外国直接投资对阿富汗经济增长的影响

Tariq Aziz, Ali Raza, Mawludin Tarakai, None Hassan
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摘要

阿富汗是最不发达国家;在解放期间,大约四分之三的经济被摧毁,在过去的二十年里,这个国家已经加快了经济的轻微增长。该研究的目的是评估2002年至2021年期间阿富汗绿地外国直接投资对经济增长的影响。该研究还调查了汇款、外援和人口的影响。在本研究中,通过增强Dickey-Fuller检验(ADF)检查所有变量的平稳性。用ARDL和ECM技术对结果进行分析。结果表明,绿地投资与汇款在短期和长期均具有统计学显著性。从短期和长期来看,外援都是微不足道的。从长远来看,人口是微不足道的,但在短期内却很重要。一是完善友好投资政策,吸引外资。其次,阿富汗政府与邻国,特别是发达国家签署了一项协议,将其熟练和受过教育的劳动力送到阿富汗,使他们能够轻松谋生并向家人汇款。第三,阿富汗政府应该避免可能在短期内影响其经济的外国援助。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of the greenfield-foreign direct investment on the economic growth of Afghanistan
Afghanistan is a least developed country; during the liberation, about three-fourths of the economy was ruined, and over the past two decades, the country has geared up a slight economic growth. The study's objective is to assess the impact of greenfield foreign direct investment on the economic growth of Afghanistan during the interval 2002-2021. The research also investigates the effect of remittances, foreign aid, and population. In this study, the stationarity of all variables is checked via the Augmented Dickey-Fuller test (ADF). The results were analysed with ARDL and ECM techniques. The results show that greenfield investment and remittances are statistically significant in the short and long run. Foreign aid is insignificant in the short and long run. The population is insignificant in the long run but significant in the short run. First, the government of Afghanistan improved its friendly investment policy to attract foreign investors. Second, the government of Afghanistan signed an agreement with neighbouring countries, especially developed countries, to send their skilled and educated labour so they will easily earn their livelihood and send remittances to their families. Third, the government of Afghanistan should avoid foreign aid that may affect its economy in the short term.
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