尼日利亚三角洲州Ughelli风速及其与相对湿度和温度的连通性的统计研究

I.U. Siloko, O.O. Uddin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

风是在许多自然现象中起重要作用的重要气候参数之一。由于风能作为可再生能源的作用,其重要性再怎么强调也不为过。对风的了解是非常重要的,特别是对恶劣天气事件的预测和管理。然而,风作为一个气候参数取决于相对湿度和温度以及其他天气参数,风速数据的分析采用了时间序列分析、极值分析和空间分析等统计方法。本研究采用核密度法,利用高斯核函数分析了2018 - 2022年连续5年三角洲州Ughelli地区的风速及其与相对湿度和温度的关系。使用的性能度量是渐近平均积分平方误差(AMISE)和Pearson R检验,测量参数之间存在的关系的强度。关于AMISE的调查结果显示,2018年在风速和相对湿度方面表现最佳,2021年在风速和温度方面表现最佳,但2019年在风速和这两个参数方面表现不佳。这意味着依赖于这些参数的人类活动分别在2018年和2021年表现最佳。在连通性方面,风速与相对湿度在2018年和2022年呈负相关,在2019年、2020年和2021年呈正相关,风速与温度呈负相关,即随着温度的升高,风速减小。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A statistical study of wind speed and its connectivity with relative humidity and temperature in Ughelli, Delta State, Nigeria
One of the vital climatic parameters with significant roles in many natural phenomena is wind. The importance of wind cannot be overemphasized due to its role as a source of renewable energy. The understanding of wind is of great importance particularly for the purpose of prediction and management of severe weather events. However, wind as a climatic parameter depends on relative humidity and temperature as well as other weather parameters and several statistical approaches such as time series analysis, extreme value analysis and spatial analysis have been used to analyze wind speed data. This study uses the kernel density method in analyzing wind speed in Ughelli, Delta State and its connection with relative humidity and temperature using the Gaussian kernel function for a period of five consecutive years from 2018 to 2022. The performance measure employ is the asymptotic mean integrated squared error (AMISE) with the Pearson R test that measures the strength of the relationship that exists between parameters. The results of the investigation with regards to the AMISE shows that 2018 recorded best performance with wind speed and relative humidity while 2021 recorded best performance for wind speed and temperature but 2019 recorded unsatisfactory outcomes for wind speed and the two parameters. This implies that human activities that depend on these parameters for their performance did best in 2018 and 2021 respectively. Furthermore, in terms of connectivity, wind speed and relative humidity are negatively correlated in 2018 and 2022 but positively correlated in 2019, 2020 and 2021 while wind speed and temperature are negatively correlated which implies that as temperature increases, wind speed decreases.
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