{"title":"全球油价、产量、HBA和油价对印尼煤炭出口价值的影响","authors":"Nur Hanif, M Taufiq","doi":"10.35906/jep.v9i1.1512","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRAK Batubara dimanfaatkan masyarakat dunia sebagai sumber energy dan batubara merupakan salah satu komoditas ekspor unggulan Indonesia. Sebagai salah satu negara pengekspor batubara terbesar di dunia, kinerja ekspor batubara Indonesia berkaitan dengan nilai tukar (kurs), volume produksi, harga batubara acuan (HBA), dan harga minyak dunia (WTI). Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui dan menganalisis pengaruh variabel independen nilai tukar (X1), volume produksi (X2), HBA (X3) dan harga minyak dunia (X4) terhadap variabel dependen nilai ekspor batubara Indonesia (Y). Penelitian ini menggunakan data sekunder dengan jenis data time series selama periode 2011-2021. Metode yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah analisis regresi linier berganda. Hasil penelitian menunjukan bahwa secara parsial nilai tukar (X1) tidak berpengaruh terhadap nilai ekspor batubara Indonesia (Y), sedangkan volume produksi (X2), HBA (X3) dan harga minyak dunia (X4) memiliki pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap nilai ekspor batubara Indonesia (Y). Secara simultan nilai tukar (X1), volume produksi (X2), HBA (X3) dan harga minyak dunia (X4) berpengaruh signifikan terhadap nilai ekspor batubara Indonesia (Y). Kata Kunci: Ekspor; Kurs; Produksi; HBA; WTI. ABSTRACT Coal is used by the world community as a source of energy and coal is one of Indonesia’s leading export commodities. As one of the largest coal exporting countries in the world, Indonesia coal export performance is related to the exchange rate, production volume, reference coal price (HBA), world oil prices (WTI). The purpose of this study was to determine and analyze the effect of the independent variabels exchange rate (X1), production volume (X2), HBA (X4), and world oil prices on the dependent variabel the value of Indonesian coal export (Y). This study uses secondary data with the type of time series data during the 2011-2021 period. The method used in this study is multiple linier regression analysis. The results showed that partially the exchange rate (X1) no effect on Indonesia’s coal export value, while production volume (X2), HBA (X3) and world oil prices (X4) had a positive and significant effect on the value of Indonesian coal exports (Y). Simultaneously the exchange rate (X1), production volume (X2), HBA (X3) and world oil prices (X4) have significant effect on the value of Indonesian coal exports (Y). Keywords: Export; Exchange Rate; Production; HBA; WTI.","PeriodicalId":167746,"journal":{"name":"Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan STIE Muhammadiyah Palopo","volume":"21 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-06-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"PENGARUH NILAI TUKAR, VOLUME PRODUKSI, HBA, DAN HARGA MINYAK DUNIA TERHADAP NILAI EKSPOR BATUBARA INDONESIA\",\"authors\":\"Nur Hanif, M Taufiq\",\"doi\":\"10.35906/jep.v9i1.1512\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"ABSTRAK Batubara dimanfaatkan masyarakat dunia sebagai sumber energy dan batubara merupakan salah satu komoditas ekspor unggulan Indonesia. Sebagai salah satu negara pengekspor batubara terbesar di dunia, kinerja ekspor batubara Indonesia berkaitan dengan nilai tukar (kurs), volume produksi, harga batubara acuan (HBA), dan harga minyak dunia (WTI). Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui dan menganalisis pengaruh variabel independen nilai tukar (X1), volume produksi (X2), HBA (X3) dan harga minyak dunia (X4) terhadap variabel dependen nilai ekspor batubara Indonesia (Y). Penelitian ini menggunakan data sekunder dengan jenis data time series selama periode 2011-2021. Metode yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah analisis regresi linier berganda. Hasil penelitian menunjukan bahwa secara parsial nilai tukar (X1) tidak berpengaruh terhadap nilai ekspor batubara Indonesia (Y), sedangkan volume produksi (X2), HBA (X3) dan harga minyak dunia (X4) memiliki pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap nilai ekspor batubara Indonesia (Y). Secara simultan nilai tukar (X1), volume produksi (X2), HBA (X3) dan harga minyak dunia (X4) berpengaruh signifikan terhadap nilai ekspor batubara Indonesia (Y). Kata Kunci: Ekspor; Kurs; Produksi; HBA; WTI. ABSTRACT Coal is used by the world community as a source of energy and coal is one of Indonesia’s leading export commodities. As one of the largest coal exporting countries in the world, Indonesia coal export performance is related to the exchange rate, production volume, reference coal price (HBA), world oil prices (WTI). The purpose of this study was to determine and analyze the effect of the independent variabels exchange rate (X1), production volume (X2), HBA (X4), and world oil prices on the dependent variabel the value of Indonesian coal export (Y). This study uses secondary data with the type of time series data during the 2011-2021 period. The method used in this study is multiple linier regression analysis. The results showed that partially the exchange rate (X1) no effect on Indonesia’s coal export value, while production volume (X2), HBA (X3) and world oil prices (X4) had a positive and significant effect on the value of Indonesian coal exports (Y). Simultaneously the exchange rate (X1), production volume (X2), HBA (X3) and world oil prices (X4) have significant effect on the value of Indonesian coal exports (Y). Keywords: Export; Exchange Rate; Production; HBA; WTI.\",\"PeriodicalId\":167746,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan STIE Muhammadiyah Palopo\",\"volume\":\"21 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-06-21\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan STIE Muhammadiyah Palopo\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.35906/jep.v9i1.1512\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan STIE Muhammadiyah Palopo","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.35906/jep.v9i1.1512","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
PENGARUH NILAI TUKAR, VOLUME PRODUKSI, HBA, DAN HARGA MINYAK DUNIA TERHADAP NILAI EKSPOR BATUBARA INDONESIA
ABSTRAK Batubara dimanfaatkan masyarakat dunia sebagai sumber energy dan batubara merupakan salah satu komoditas ekspor unggulan Indonesia. Sebagai salah satu negara pengekspor batubara terbesar di dunia, kinerja ekspor batubara Indonesia berkaitan dengan nilai tukar (kurs), volume produksi, harga batubara acuan (HBA), dan harga minyak dunia (WTI). Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui dan menganalisis pengaruh variabel independen nilai tukar (X1), volume produksi (X2), HBA (X3) dan harga minyak dunia (X4) terhadap variabel dependen nilai ekspor batubara Indonesia (Y). Penelitian ini menggunakan data sekunder dengan jenis data time series selama periode 2011-2021. Metode yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah analisis regresi linier berganda. Hasil penelitian menunjukan bahwa secara parsial nilai tukar (X1) tidak berpengaruh terhadap nilai ekspor batubara Indonesia (Y), sedangkan volume produksi (X2), HBA (X3) dan harga minyak dunia (X4) memiliki pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap nilai ekspor batubara Indonesia (Y). Secara simultan nilai tukar (X1), volume produksi (X2), HBA (X3) dan harga minyak dunia (X4) berpengaruh signifikan terhadap nilai ekspor batubara Indonesia (Y). Kata Kunci: Ekspor; Kurs; Produksi; HBA; WTI. ABSTRACT Coal is used by the world community as a source of energy and coal is one of Indonesia’s leading export commodities. As one of the largest coal exporting countries in the world, Indonesia coal export performance is related to the exchange rate, production volume, reference coal price (HBA), world oil prices (WTI). The purpose of this study was to determine and analyze the effect of the independent variabels exchange rate (X1), production volume (X2), HBA (X4), and world oil prices on the dependent variabel the value of Indonesian coal export (Y). This study uses secondary data with the type of time series data during the 2011-2021 period. The method used in this study is multiple linier regression analysis. The results showed that partially the exchange rate (X1) no effect on Indonesia’s coal export value, while production volume (X2), HBA (X3) and world oil prices (X4) had a positive and significant effect on the value of Indonesian coal exports (Y). Simultaneously the exchange rate (X1), production volume (X2), HBA (X3) and world oil prices (X4) have significant effect on the value of Indonesian coal exports (Y). Keywords: Export; Exchange Rate; Production; HBA; WTI.
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