根据远程监测数据,2021年俄罗斯森林直接热原碳排放的定量估计

D.V. Ershov, E.N. Sochilova
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摘要

本文利用长期卫星数据统计了俄罗斯2021年森林大火期间林地直接野火碳排放估算。2021年,受森林野火影响的面积为930万公顷,碳排放量为6640亿吨。上述数值几乎比长期平均值高出两个点。通过对20年来类似指标的比较,我们得出结论,就整个时间序列而言,这一年是异常的,类似于2003年和2012年的野火季节。三个异常野火季节的重复周期或间隔为9年。异常野火季节反复出现的原因尚未查明。与此同时,受野火影响的森林面积和野火异常年的直接碳和其他温室气体排放量从2003年的127.2 MtC(3.7倍)减少到2012年的83.8 MtC(2.4倍),到2021年减少到66.4 MtC(1.9倍)。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
QUANTITATIVE ESTIMATES OF DIRECT PYROGENIC CARBON EMISSIONS IN FORESTS OF RUSSIA ACCORDING TO REMOTE MONITORING DATA 2021
This paper presents the statistics of direct wildfire carbon emission estimates during the wildfires of 2021 on forest lands of Russia using long-term satellite data. In 2021, the area affected by forest wildfires was 9.3 million ha, while carbon emissions amounted to 66.4 MtC. Said values are almost two points higher than the long-term average values. A comparison of similar indicators for twenty years allowed us to conclude that said year was anomalous with respect to the entire time series, similar to the wildfire seasons of 2003 and 2012. A period or interval for recurrence of three anomalous wildfire seasons is nine years. The reason for the recurrence of anomalous wildfire seasons is yet to be found. At the same time, the forest areas affected by wildfires, and direct carbon and other greenhouse gas emissions in anomalous wildfire years decreased from 127.2 MtC (3.7 times) in 2003 to 83.8 MtC (2.4 times) in 2012, and to 66.4 MtC (1.9 times) in 2021.
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