提高贫困补助标准对政府项目资格和支出的影响

IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS
Kevin Corinth
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引用次数: 0

摘要

美国国家科学院(National Academy of Sciences)最近的一份报告建议将补充贫困指标(SPM)提升到“国家总体贫困统计数据”。我预测将SPM作为官方贫困衡量标准将如何影响资格门槛与官方贫困线挂钩的政府援助项目的资格。将SPM作为官方的贫困衡量标准,到2024年,一个四口之家的贫困线将提高20%。一个四口之家的资格门槛将因此增加补充营养援助计划(SNAP)的8320美元,医疗补助成人的8512美元,医疗保险D部分低收入补贴,国家学校午餐计划和平价医疗法案保费补贴(一旦暂时放宽的资格规则在2026年恢复)的数额更大。对资格门槛的影响将随着时间的推移而增加,因为SPM门槛随着时间的推移比目前的官方门槛增长得更快。由于资格门槛的提高,我估计到2024年,SNAP将额外覆盖200万户家庭,支出将增加26亿美元,医疗补助将额外覆盖130万户受助人,支出将增加56亿美元。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Effect of Elevating the Supplemental Poverty Measure on Government Program Eligibility and Spending
Abstract A recent National Academy of Sciences report recommends elevating the Supplemental Poverty Measure (SPM) to the “nation’s headline poverty statistic.” I project how making the SPM the official poverty measure would affect eligibility for government assistance programs whose eligibility thresholds are tied to the official poverty line. Making the SPM the official poverty measure would increase the poverty line for a family of four by 20 percent in 2024. The eligibility threshold for a family of four would consequentially increase by $8320 for the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), $8512 for Medicaid adults, and by larger amounts for Medicare Part D Low Income Subsidies, the National School Lunch Program, and Affordable Care Act premium subsidies (once temporarily relaxed eligibility rules are restored in 2026). Effects on eligibility thresholds would grow over time because the SPM thresholds grow faster over time than the current official thresholds. As a result of the higher eligibility thresholds, I estimate that in 2024 SNAP would cover 2.0 million additional households with spending rising by $2.6 billion, and that Medicaid would cover 1.3 million additional recipients with spending rising by $5.6 billion.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
11.10%
发文量
33
期刊介绍: The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy welcomes submissions that employ microeconomics to analyze issues in business, consumer behavior, and public policy. We aim to be an international forum for scholarship, whether the scholarship considers an issue that is general or that pertains to a particular country or region, but authors should bear in mind that our readers come from around the world. Potential issues of interest include: the interaction of firms, the functioning of markets, the effects of domestic and international policy, and the design of organizations and institutions.
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