腐败和政治不确定性对旅游业增长联系的好坏影响:世界范围的证据

IF 3.6 3区管理学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Tourism Economics Pub Date : 2023-10-31 DOI:10.1177/13548166231209365

Chandan Sharma

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引用次数: 0

摘要

这项研究考察了在腐败和政治不可预测的情况下，旅游业带动增长的假设有多合理。为了进行实证研究，我们使用了1995年至2018年世界各地的面板数据。采用动态面板数据估计方法进行估计。我们的分析结果表明，旅游业带动的增长是一种现象，但这取决于制度因素。具体而言，严重的腐败、政治不稳定和暴力对旅游业对经济繁荣的有益影响构成了重大障碍。我们还采用面板分位数回归来估计旅游业的不对称效应。分析结果表明，旅游业对低收入经济体尤其有利。然而，研究结果也证实，腐败和政治不稳定等制度因素阻碍了一些国家，尤其是发展中国家，利用旅游业的优势。

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Good and bad effects of corruption and political uncertainty on tourism-growth linkage: World-wide evidence

This research looks at how plausible the tourism-led growth hypothesis is in the midst of corruption and political unpredictability. For empirical investigation, we utilize panel data from 1995 to 2018 for across the world. A dynamic panel data estimation method is employed for the estimation purpose. The outcomes of our analysis show that tourism-led growth is a phenomenon, but this is contingent on institutional factors. Specifically, high levels of corruption, political instability, and violence pose a significant barrier to beneficial effects of tourism on economic prosperity. We also employ panel quantile regression to estimate the asymmetric effects of tourism. Results of the analysis show that tourism is particularly beneficial for low-income economies. However, results also confirm that institutional factors such as corruption and political instability prevent countries, especially developing nations, from taking advantage of tourism.

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来源期刊

Tourism Economics Multiple-

CiteScore

9.30

自引率

11.40%

发文量

期刊介绍： Tourism Economics, published quarterly, covers the business aspects of tourism in the wider context. It takes account of constraints on development, such as social and community interests and the sustainable use of tourism and recreation resources, and inputs into the production process. The definition of tourism used includes tourist trips taken for all purposes, embracing both stay and day visitors. Articles address the components of the tourism product (accommodation; restaurants; merchandizing; attractions; transport; entertainment; tourist activities); and the economic organization of tourism at micro and macro levels (market structure; role of public/private sectors; community interests; strategic planning; marketing; finance; economic development).