危机期间出口在提高印尼GDP中的作用:宏观经济条件

IF 1 Q3 ECONOMICS
Etikonomi Pub Date : 2023-10-03 DOI:10.15408/etk.v22i2.32381
Francisca Sestri Goestjahjanti, Sahala Benny Pasaribu, Dewiana Novitasari, Istajib Kulla Himmy Azz, Winanti Winanti
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引用次数: 0

摘要

审查大流行病期间影响经济增长的出口活动决定因素的研究正在引起全球的兴趣,特别是在印度尼西亚,该国最近减少了燃料补贴,这是该领域的一个独特案例。因此,本研究考察了出口和宏观经济条件(包括燃料价格、汇率和利率)在危机期间促进印尼GDP增长方面的作用。我们通过对1995-2022年的二手数据进行结构方程模型和路径分析来检验这种关系。结果表明,燃料价格、汇率和利率对出口既有部分影响,也有同时影响。另一方面,出口活动的增加提高了印尼的GDP。因此,即使在危机期间,同时控制燃料价格、汇率、利率和出口价值也可以改善印尼的GDP增长。在此基础上,本文提出了稳定燃料价格、汇率、利率和政府政策以促进未来经济增长的建议。JEL分类:E31、E43、F31、C32、O47
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Role of Export in Boosting Indonesia’s GDP during Crisis: Macroeconomic Conditions
Research examining the determinants of export activities affecting economic growth during the pandemic is gaining global interest, particularly in Indonesia, which recently reduced its fuel subsidy as a unique case in this field. Hence, this study examines the role of export and macroeconomic conditions, including fuel price, exchange rate, and interest rate, in boosting Indonesia’s GDP during the crisis. We examine this relationship by conducting a structural equation model and path analysis on secondary data from 1995-2022. The result shows that both partially and simultaneously, fuel prices, exchange rates, and interest rates significantly affect exports. On the other hand, an increase in export activity improves Indonesian GDP. Thus, simultaneous control of fuel prices, exchange rate, interest rate, and export value can improve Indonesian GDP growth even during the crisis. Based on this result, this article proposes suggestions to the government for a stable fuel price, exchange rate, interest rate, and government policy to promote future economic growth.JEL Classification: E31, E43, F31, C32, O47
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来源期刊
Etikonomi
Etikonomi ECONOMICS-
自引率
12.50%
发文量
29
审稿时长
12 weeks
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