发展中国家突发卫生事件环境下就业弹性的动态分析

Andres Mauricio Paredes Rodriguez, Said Adolfo Colonia-Murillas, Diego León Peña-Orozco, Reynel Andrés Murillo Agudelo
{"title":"发展中国家突发卫生事件环境下就业弹性的动态分析","authors":"Andres Mauricio Paredes Rodriguez, Said Adolfo Colonia-Murillas, Diego León Peña-Orozco, Reynel Andrés Murillo Agudelo","doi":"10.25100/iyc.v25i3.12555","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Simulation results on the employment resilience under a health emergency environment in Colombia South America are presented. The system is characterized by identifying the different relevant variables which are reflected in the causal and Forrester diagrams simulated through the VENSIM PLE x64 program.  Results show a resilient in the employment variable behaviour in terms of entrepreneurship and new companies generation, which reflects a potential economic development in the country under an uncertainty scenario. On the other hand, model accuracy is influenced by indicators changes along simulation time included in the analysis. Finally, it is concluded that the employment behaviour under the health emergency panorama is fluctuating but tends to increase in the last months in the time horizon simulation. However, it is highlighted that this situation can take another path if decision making is not adequate.","PeriodicalId":159448,"journal":{"name":"INGENIERÍA Y COMPETITIVIDAD","volume":"100 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-10-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Dynamic analysis of employment resilience under a health emergency environment in a developing country\",\"authors\":\"Andres Mauricio Paredes Rodriguez, Said Adolfo Colonia-Murillas, Diego León Peña-Orozco, Reynel Andrés Murillo Agudelo\",\"doi\":\"10.25100/iyc.v25i3.12555\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Simulation results on the employment resilience under a health emergency environment in Colombia South America are presented. The system is characterized by identifying the different relevant variables which are reflected in the causal and Forrester diagrams simulated through the VENSIM PLE x64 program.  Results show a resilient in the employment variable behaviour in terms of entrepreneurship and new companies generation, which reflects a potential economic development in the country under an uncertainty scenario. On the other hand, model accuracy is influenced by indicators changes along simulation time included in the analysis. Finally, it is concluded that the employment behaviour under the health emergency panorama is fluctuating but tends to increase in the last months in the time horizon simulation. However, it is highlighted that this situation can take another path if decision making is not adequate.\",\"PeriodicalId\":159448,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"INGENIERÍA Y COMPETITIVIDAD\",\"volume\":\"100 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-10-03\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"INGENIERÍA Y COMPETITIVIDAD\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.25100/iyc.v25i3.12555\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"INGENIERÍA Y COMPETITIVIDAD","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.25100/iyc.v25i3.12555","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

给出了南美洲哥伦比亚卫生突发事件环境下就业弹性的模拟结果。该系统的特点是识别不同的相关变量,这些变量反映在通过VENSIM PLE x64程序模拟的因果图和弗雷斯特图中。结果显示,在创业和新公司产生方面,就业变量行为具有弹性,这反映了该国在不确定情景下的潜在经济发展。另一方面,模型精度受分析中指标随仿真时间变化的影响。最后,得出的结论是,在卫生突发事件全景下的就业行为是波动的,但在时间范围模拟的最后几个月有增加的趋势。然而,需要强调的是,如果决策不充分,这种情况可以采取另一种方式。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Dynamic analysis of employment resilience under a health emergency environment in a developing country
Simulation results on the employment resilience under a health emergency environment in Colombia South America are presented. The system is characterized by identifying the different relevant variables which are reflected in the causal and Forrester diagrams simulated through the VENSIM PLE x64 program.  Results show a resilient in the employment variable behaviour in terms of entrepreneurship and new companies generation, which reflects a potential economic development in the country under an uncertainty scenario. On the other hand, model accuracy is influenced by indicators changes along simulation time included in the analysis. Finally, it is concluded that the employment behaviour under the health emergency panorama is fluctuating but tends to increase in the last months in the time horizon simulation. However, it is highlighted that this situation can take another path if decision making is not adequate.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信