人口老龄化、养老金制度与经济增长:代际重叠模型在非正式部门的应用

IF 1 Q4 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES
NAVARAT TEMSUMRIT
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文利用扩展的重叠代模型分析了无资金准备的养老金制度对经济增长的影响,其中包括非正式部门。新兴国家通常比发达国家拥有更重要的非正式部门。基于泰国经济数据的研究结果表明,无基金养老金支出和非缴费老年津贴的增加导致产出下降,并改变了工人的消费状况。此外,它降低了家庭储蓄和提供劳动力的动机,特别是在正式工人中,这降低了新的稳定状态下的物质资本存量。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Population Aging, Pension Systems, and Economic Growth: Applying an Overlapping Generations Model to the Informal Sector
This paper analyzes the effects of an unfunded pension system on economic growth using an extended overlapping generations model to include the informal sector. Emerging countries usually have a more significant informal sector than advanced ones. The findings based on the Thai economy data suggest that an increase in unfunded pension payouts and the noncontributory old-age allowance induces lower output and changes the consumption profiles of the workers. Furthermore, it reduces households’ incentives to save and provide labor, especially among formal workers, which lowers the physical capital stock in the new steady state.
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来源期刊
Asian Development Review
Asian Development Review Social Sciences-Development
CiteScore
2.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
18
审稿时长
53 weeks
期刊介绍: The Asian Development Review is a professional journal for disseminating the results of economic and development research carried out by staff and resource persons of the Asian Development Bank (ADB). The Review stresses policy and operational relevance of development issues rather than the technical aspects of economics and other social sciences. Articles are refereed and intended for readership among economists and social scientists in government, private sector, academia, and international organizations.
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