适应气候变化:水对居民用电量的替代效应

IF 3.5 3区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES
Fan Zhang, Ming Cao
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引用次数: 0

摘要

由于气候变化对居住生活的影响,人们通常使用加热或冷却设备来应对外界温度的变化,从而带来额外的电力需求和生活成本。水比电更具成本效益,可以提供相同的身体效用,这可能是平滑电力消费波动和提供生活成本激励的另一种选择。因此,本研究旨在确定水在气候变化与居民用电量关系中的替代效应。本研究利用2004-2019年中国295个城市的面板数据,确定了水的替代效应和潜在异质性。本研究采用分位数回归和部分线性功能系数模型,降低了模型错配的风险,能够详细识别替代机制,符合实际,准确确定了不同消费水平下的异质性。结果表明,居民用水可以减弱制冷需求对居民用电量的影响,特别是在低收入地区。此外,居民表现出适应性不对称行为。随着用电量水平的提高,替代效应逐渐增强。当居民人均用水量超过16.44吨,满足基本生活保障时,替代效应逐渐增强。原创性/价值本研究确定了水和异质性行为在中国住宅部门的替代作用。这些发现补充了现有文献,可以帮助政策制定者、投资者和居民了解气候问题、风险管理和预算管理。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Adapting to climate change: substitution effect of water on residential electricity consumption
Purpose As climate change impacts residential life, people typically use heating or cooling appliances to deal with varying outside temperatures, bringing extra electricity demand and living costs. Water is more cost-effective than electricity and could provide the same body utility, which may be an alternative choice to smooth electricity consumption fluctuation and provide living cost incentives. Therefore, this study aims to identify the substitute effect of water on the relationship between climate change and residential electricity consumption. Design/methodology/approach This study identifies the substitute effect of water and potential heterogeneity using panel data from 295 cities in China over the period 2004–2019. The quantile regression and the partially linear functional coefficient model in this study could reduce the risks of model misspecification and enable detailed identification of the substitution mechanism, which is in line with reality and precisely determines the heterogeneity at different consumption levels. Findings The results indicate that residential water consumption can weaken the impact of cooling demand on residential electricity consumption, especially in low-income regions. Moreover, residents exhibited adaptive asymmetric behaviors. As the electricity consumption level increased, the substitute effects gradually get strong. The substitute effects gradually strengthened when residential water consumption per capita exceeds 16.44 tons as the meeting of the basic life guarantee. Originality/value This study identifies the substitution role of water and heterogeneous behaviors in the residential sector in China. These findings augment the existing literature and could aid policymakers, investors and residents regarding climate issues, risk management and budget management.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
8.10
自引率
8.30%
发文量
43
审稿时长
15 weeks
期刊介绍: Effective from volume 10 (2018), International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management is an open access journal. In the history of science there have been only a few issues which have mobilized the attention of scientists and policy-makers alike as the issue of climate change currently does. International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management is an international forum that addresses the need for disseminating scholarly research, projects and other initiatives aimed to facilitate a better understanding of the subject matter of climate change. The journal publishes papers dealing with policy-making on climate change, and methodological approaches to cope with the problems deriving from climate change. It disseminates experiences from projects and case studies where due consideration to environmental, economic, social and political aspects is given and especially the links and leverages that can be attained by this holistic approach. It regards climate change under the perspective of its wider implications: for economic growth, water and food security, and for people''s survival – especially those living in the poorest communities in developing countries.
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