捷克不断变化的气候条件要求农业采取适应措施

IF 3 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
Climate Pub Date : 2023-10-20 DOI:10.3390/cli11100210
Martin Mozny, Lenka Hajkova, Vojtech Vlach, Veronika Ouskova, Adela Musilova
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在某些地区,气候条件的变化增加了与作物生产有关的风险。及早发现这些变化,可以在当地实施适当的适应措施,从而稳定农业生产。我们的分析显示,1961年至2020年间,捷克的气候条件发生了重大变化。我们以高分辨率(0.5 × 0.5 km)研究了观测到的温度条件、降水分布、干旱发生和霜冻事件的变化。产出显示气温和干旱发生率显著增加。1991-2020年5°C以上的总温度比1961-1990年高15%。此外,1991年以后,10°C以上的总相对变化为26%。在过去30年中,干旱的发生频率是1961-1990年的4倍,特别是在春季。降水分布变化不明显,生长季结霜概率略有下降。持续的气候变化给捷克的高海拔地区带来了温暖和干燥的环境。由于分辨率不高,在全球范围内评估气候条件对于像捷克这样相对较小且地形多样的国家来说不太精确。因此,高分辨率的分析更适合这些国家。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Changing Climatic Conditions in Czechia Require Adaptation Measures in Agriculture
Changes in climatic conditions increase risks associated with crop production in certain regions. Early detection of these changes enables the implementation of suitable adaptation measures in the local area, thereby stabilising agricultural production. Our analysis shows a significant shift in climatic conditions in Czechia between 1961 and 2020. We examined the changes in observed temperature conditions, precipitation distribution, drought occurrences, and frost incidents at a high resolution (0.5 × 0.5 km). The outputs show a significant increase in air temperatures and drought occurrence. Temperature totals above 5 °C in 1991–2020 were 15% higher than in 1961–1990. Furthermore, the relative change in totals above 10 °C was 26% after 1991. Over the last 30 years, drought incidence was four times more frequent than in 1961–1990, particularly in spring. In contrast, no significant changes in the distribution of precipitation occurred, and there was a slight decrease in the probability of frost during the growing season. Ongoing climate change brings warmer and drier conditions to higher-altitude regions in Czechia. Assessing climatic conditions on a global scale is less precise for relatively small and topographically diverse countries like Czechia due to coarse resolution. Therefore, a high-resolution analysis is more appropriate for these countries.
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来源期刊
Climate
Climate Earth and Planetary Sciences-Atmospheric Science
CiteScore
5.50
自引率
5.40%
发文量
172
审稿时长
11 weeks
期刊介绍: Climate is an independent, international and multi-disciplinary open access journal focusing on climate processes of the earth, covering all scales and involving modelling and observation methods. The scope of Climate includes: Global climate Regional climate Urban climate Multiscale climate Polar climate Tropical climate Climate downscaling Climate process and sensitivity studies Climate dynamics Climate variability (Interseasonal, interannual to decadal) Feedbacks between local, regional, and global climate change Anthropogenic climate change Climate and monsoon Cloud and precipitation predictions Past, present, and projected climate change Hydroclimate.
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