美国民众对民主的支持在几代人之间下降

IF 2.9 1区社会学 Q1 COMMUNICATION

Public Opinion Quarterly Pub Date : 2023-09-15 DOI:10.1093/poq/nfad039

Christopher Claassen, Pedro C Magalhães

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引用次数: 1

摘要

美国对民主的支持一度被认为是稳固的，但现在已被证明有些不稳固。对民主的依恋程度下降最令人担忧的一个方面是明显的年龄差距，年轻的美国人不像年长的同胞那样支持民主。通过对1995年至2019年期间收集的12项全国调查进行年龄-时期队列分析，我们发现，这种年龄差距在很大程度上是对民主支持的长期代际下降的函数，几乎没有证据表明存在明显的独立生命周期影响。在没有积极和平衡的生命周期效应的情况下，代际衰退的结合为未来美国对民主的支持提供了一个清醒的预测。

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Public Support for Democracy in the United States Has Declined Generationally

Abstract Support for democracy in the United States, once thought to be solid, has now been shown to be somewhat shaky. One of the most concerning aspects of this declining attachment to democracy is a marked age gap, with younger Americans less supportive of democracy than their older compatriots. Using age-period-cohort analysis of 12 national surveys collected between 1995 and 2019, we show that this age gap is largely a function of a long-term generational decline in support for democracy, with little evidence of an independent life-cycle effect apparent. The combination of generational decline without a positive and counterbalancing life-cycle effect offers a sober prognosis of how support for democracy in the United States might look in the future.

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来源期刊

Public Opinion Quarterly Multiple-

CiteScore

4.40

自引率

2.90%

发文量

期刊介绍： Published since 1937, Public Opinion Quarterly is among the most frequently cited journals of its kind. Such interdisciplinary leadership benefits academicians and all social science researchers by providing a trusted source for a wide range of high quality research. POQ selectively publishes important theoretical contributions to opinion and communication research, analyses of current public opinion, and investigations of methodological issues involved in survey validity—including questionnaire construction, interviewing and interviewers, sampling strategy, and mode of administration. The theoretical and methodological advances detailed in pages of POQ ensure its importance as a research resource.