综合交通运输与旅游经济系统的演化:来自中国黄河流域的证据

IF 1 4区工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, CIVIL

Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers-Transport Pub Date : 2023-10-24 DOI:10.1680/jtran.23.00072

Wei Wang, Lei Guan, Liang Gong, Hailun Han

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引用次数: 0

摘要

可持续发展目标8:体面劳动和经济增长是联合国17项可持续发展目标之一，重点关注旅游经济的高质量发展。本研究通过强调高质量的综合交通系统的重要性来解决黄河流域旅游经济的发展问题。本文采用数据拟合、耦合模型和Haken模型相结合的方法，从宏观和微观两个层面分析了两个系统之间的耦合和动态交互特征。研究结果揭示了综合交通与旅游经济系统的时空变化趋势和空间异质性。旅游经济系统综合发展得分呈近线性趋势。在大多数省份，综合交通运输系统的发展落后于旅游经济的发展。各省的耦合协调度(CCD)在0.1 ~ 0.3之间，处于不平衡和衰退阶段。黄河流域中下游CCD呈轻微上升趋势，上游CCD呈轻微下降趋势。此外，还揭示了两个系统之间的动态相互作用。两个系统的平均协同水平处于中等水平。在协同发展过程中，旅游经济系统作为一个序参量，分别控制着九省三河段旅游经济系统协同演化的路径和方向。综合交通系统和旅游经济系统的演化都促进了旅游交通系统的负反馈，最终增强了系统秩序。最后，本研究为政策制定者提供了促进综合交通与旅游经济协调发展以实现可持续发展的见解和建议。

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Revealing evolution of comprehensive transportation and tourism economic systems: evidence from the Yellow River Basin in China

Sustainable Development Goal 8 (SDG 8) Decent Work and Economic Growth is one of the 17 United Nations SDGs, focusing on the high-quality development of the tourism economy. This study addresses the development of the tourism economy in the Yellow River Basin by emphasizing the importance of a high-quality, comprehensive transportation system. This study aimed to analyze the characteristics of the coupling and dynamic interactions between the two systems at the macro and micro levels using the data fitting method, coupling model, and Haken model together. The results revealed the temporal trends and spatial heterogeneity of the comprehensive transportation and tourism economic systems. The comprehensive development score of the tourism economic system indicated a nearly linear trend. In most provinces, the development of a comprehensive transportation system lagged behind that of the tourism economy. Also, the coupling coordination degree (CCD) for all provinces ranged between 0.1 and 0.3, indicating a stage of imbalance and recession. The CCD of the middle and lower reaches indicated a slight increasing trend, and the CCD of the upper reaches exhibited a slight decreasing trend in the Yellow River Basin. Furthermore, the dynamic interactions between the two systems were unveiled. The average synergy level between the two systems was within the middle stage. In the synergy development process, the tourism economic system was an order parameter that controlled the path and direction of the coordinated evolution of the two systems for the nine provinces and three reaches, respectively. The evolution of both the comprehensive transportation system and the tourism economic system contributed to negative feedback on the tourism and transport system, ultimately enhancing the system order. In conclusion, this study offers insights and recommendations for policymakers on promoting the coordinated evolution of the comprehensive transportation and tourism economy for sustainable development.

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来源期刊

Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers-Transport 工程技术-工程：土木

CiteScore

2.60

自引率

0.00%

发文量

审稿时长

5 months

期刊介绍： Transport is essential reading for those needing information on civil engineering developments across all areas of transport. This journal covers all aspects of planning, design, construction, maintenance and project management for the movement of goods and people. Specific topics covered include: transport planning and policy, construction of infrastructure projects, traffic management, airports and highway pavement maintenance and performance and the economic and environmental aspects of urban and inter-urban transportation systems.