在非洲实现“零饥饿”目标:超越基础设施发展的直接影响

Isaac Ketu
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引用次数: 1

摘要

可持续发展目标2.1中所述的消除饥饿的全球承诺具有重要意义,因此了解营养不良的趋势及其相关决定因素至关重要,而这些因素尚未得到充分探讨。本文以2003-2019年期间41个非洲国家为样本,通过研究基础设施发展对营养不良发生率的直接和间接影响,为文献做出了贡献。系统广义矩量法的结果表明,基础设施发展(包括信息通信技术、水和卫生、交通和电力)显著降低了贫困人口和儿童发育迟缓。有趣的是,因果中介分析表明,人力资本、治理和经济增长是基础设施发展减少非洲饥饿的主要渠道。在政策影响中,发展可靠的基础设施仍然是实现非洲“零饥饿”目标的先决条件。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Achieving the “zero hunger” goal in Africa: Beyond the direct effects of infrastructure development
Abstract The relevance of the worldwide commitment to end hunger as stated in Sustainable Development Goal 2.1 makes it crucial to understand the trend of undernourishment and the accompanying determinants that are still underexplored. Using a sample of 41 African countries covering the 2003–2019 period, this paper contributes to the literature by examining the direct and indirect effects of infrastructure development on the prevalence of undernourishment (PoU). Findings from the system generalized method of moments show that infrastructure development (including ICT, water and sanitation, transport, and electricity) significantly reduces the PoU and child stunting. Interestingly, the causal mediation analysis reveals that human capital, governance, and economic growth are the main channels through which infrastructure development reduces hunger in Africa. Among policy implications, the development of reliable infrastructures remains a prerequisite for attaining the “zero hunger” goal in Africa.
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