用基于傅里叶的方法研究荷兰政治稳定对环境的影响

IF 6.5 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY
Mustafa Tevfik Kartal, Derviş Kirikkaleli, Serpil Kılıç Depren
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引用次数: 1

摘要

摘要各国都面临着严峻的环境问题,并试图采取措施防止其对社会产生负面影响。在此背景下,各国、政策制定者和学者都考虑了各种因素。然而,政治稳定(PS)尚未得到充分认识。因此,最近的研究开始将PS纳入到对环境的实证分析中。本研究通过参考当代文献中有关影响环境质量因素的文献,调查了PS对荷兰环境的影响,这一研究发生在PS水平较高的国家中。在此过程中,本研究通过考虑各种控制因素来关注PS的影响;利用从1990年第一季度到2019年第四季度的数据;采用基于傅立叶的ARDL和TY因果关系方法作为基本模型;并采用FMOLS方法实现鲁棒性。结果表明:(1)PS抑制了环境退化;(二)可再生能源减少环境退化;经济增长刺激了环境退化;(四)全球化对环境的影响在统计上并不显著;(iv) PS、可再生能源和经济增长对环境退化有因果影响,而全球化没有;(v)基于替代方法的结果是稳健的。因此,本研究证明了PS对荷兰环境质量的高效作用。因此,荷兰的政策制定者应该在环境规划中考虑到PS,以免因政治环境的变化而错过碳中和经济目标。因此,讨论了各种政策选择。关键词:政治稳定;二氧化碳排放;可再生能源;经济增长;傅立叶方法;荷兰jel分类:C32Q56重点介绍荷兰的二氧化碳(CO2)排放。考察了政治稳定的长期效应。基于傅立叶的ARDL和TY方法用于1990/Q1-2019/Q4期间。从长远来看,PS对二氧化碳排放有显著的因果影响。通过FMOLS方法验证了傅里叶ARDL方法的鲁棒性。首字母缩写3SLS=三阶段最小二乘sbcfdc =Breitung and Candelon频域因果关系cs - ardl =横截面因果关系lcv =变异系数dh =Dumitrescu Hurlin因果关系dols =动态OLSEF=生态足迹teq =环境质量fe - ols =固定效应OLSFADF=傅立叶增强dickeyfullerf -ADL=傅立叶ADL协整f - ardl =傅立叶ardlfmolsty =完全修正的ols傅立叶Toda Yamamoto因果关系gc =Granger因果关系gdp =国内生产总值mena =中东和北非ammqr =方法政治风险服务集团pri =政治风险指数qq =分位数对分位数回归qrrcec =分位数回归区域综合经济合作re - ols =随机效应OLSTY=Toda Yamamoto因果关系k =英国wb =世界银行披露声明作者未报告潜在的利益冲突。作者的贡献作者对这项工作作出了同等的贡献。所有作者都阅读并批准了最终的手稿。数据和材料的可得性应要求,我们将提供数据。同意发表作者愿意允许杂志发表这篇文章。本研究没有从公共、商业或非营利部门的资助机构获得任何特定的资助。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Investigating political stability effect on the environment in the Netherlands by Fourier-based approaches
ABSTRACTCountries have been faced with critical environmental problems and tried to take measures to prevent the negative effects on societies. In this context, countries, policymakers, and scholars have considered various factors. However, political stability (PS) has not been a fully recognized point. Therefore, the most recent studies have begun to include PS in empirically analyzing the environment. By considering the contemporary literature regarding factors affecting environmental quality, this research investigates the effect of PS on the environment in the Netherlands, which takes place among the countries that have a high level of PS. In doing this, the study focuses on the effect of PS by considering various controlling factors; utilizes data spanning from 1990/Q1 to 2019/Q4; employs Fourier-based ARDL and TY causality approaches as the base models; and performs the FMOLS approach for robustness. The findings present that (i) PS curbs environmental degradation; (ii) renewable energy declines environmental degradation; (iii) economic growth causes a stimulating in environmental degradation; (iv) globalization is not statistically significant on the environment; (iv) PS, renewable energy, and economic growth have a causal effect on the environmental degradation, whereas globalization does not have; (v) the results are robust based on the alternative approach. Thus, the study proves the highly effective role of PS on the environmental quality in the Netherlands. So, Netherlands policymakers should take PS into account in environmental plans so as not to miss being a carbon-neutral economy target due to the changes in the political environment. Accordingly, various policy options are discussed.KEYWORDS: Political stabilityCO2 emissionsrenewable energyeconomic growthFourier approachesNetherlandsJEL CLASSIFICATION: C32Q56 Highlights Carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in the Netherlands is investigated.Long-run effect of political stability (PS) is examined.Fourier-based ARDL and TY approaches are used for the period 1990/Q1-2019/Q4.The PS has a significant and causal effect on CO2 emissions in the long-run.The robustness of the Fourier ARDL approach is validated by the FMOLS approach.Acronyms 3SLS=Three-Stage Least SquaresBCFDC=Breitung and Candelon Frequency-Domain CausalityCS-ARDL=Cross-Sectional ARDLCV=Coefficient of VariationDH=Dumitrescu Hurlin CausalityDOLS=Dynamic OLSEF=Ecological FootprintEQ=Environmental QualityFE-OLS=Fixed Effect OLSFADF=Fourier Augmented Dickey-FullerF-ADL=Fourier ADL CointegrationF-ARDL=Fourier ARDLFMOLSFTY=Fully Modified OLSFourier Toda Yamamoto CausalityGC=Granger CausalityGDP=Gross Domestic ProductMENA=Middle East and North AfricaMMQR=Methods of Moments Quantile RegressionNARDLPRSG=Nonlinear ARDLPolitical Risk Services GroupPRI=Political Risk IndexQQ=Quantile-on-Quantile RegressionQRRCEC=Quantile RegressionRegional Comprehensive Economic CooperationRE-OLS=Random Effect OLSTY=Toda Yamamoto CausalityUK=United KingdomWB=World BankDisclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the authors.Authors’ contributionsThe authors have contributed equally to this work. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.Availability of data and materialsData will be made available on request.Consent for publicationThe authors are willing to permit the Journal to publish the article.Additional informationFundingThis research did not receive any specific grant from funding agencies in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
11.10
自引率
3.60%
发文量
58
审稿时长
18-36 weeks
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Sustainable Development and World Ecology is now over fifteen years old and has proved to be an exciting forum for understanding and advancing our knowledge and implementation of sustainable development. Sustainable development is now of primary importance as the key to future use and management of finite world resources. It recognises the need for development opportunities while maintaining a balance between these and the environment. As stated by the UN Bruntland Commission in 1987, sustainable development should "meet the needs of the present generation without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs."
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