中美贸易关系的教训

IF 6.8 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Lorenzo Caliendo, Fernando Parro
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们回顾了过去20年来中美贸易关系对经济影响的理论和实证研究。我们首先讨论了中国冲击的起源及其测量方法,并介绍了用于研究其对不同结果的经济影响的方法。然后我们关注最近的美中贸易战。我们回顾了评估其影响的方法,描述了其经济影响,并分析了贸易保护主义的增加是否逆转了中国冲击的影响。从这次审查中得到的主要教训是:(a)美中贸易的总收益创造了赢家和输家;(b)中国的贸易扩张似乎不是同期美国制造业就业下降的主要原因;(c)最近的贸易战造成了福利损失,对就业的影响很小,而且无助于扭转中国冲击带来的分配效应。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Lessons from US–China Trade Relations
We review theoretical and empirical work on the economic effects of the United States and China trade relations during the past 20 years. We first discuss the origins of the China shock and its measurement and present methods used to study its economic effects on different outcomes. We then focus on the recent US–China trade war. We review methods used to evaluate its effects, describe its economic effects, and analyze whether this increase in trade protectionism reverted the effects of the China shock. The main lessons learned in this review are that ( a) the aggregate gains from US–China trade created winners and losers; ( b) China's trade expansion seems not to be the main cause of the decline in US manufacturing employment during the same period; and ( c) the recent trade war generated welfare losses, had small employment effects, and was ineffective in reversing the distributional effects due to the China shock.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
9.70
自引率
3.60%
发文量
34
期刊介绍: The Annual Review of Economics covers significant developments in the field of economics, including macroeconomics and money; microeconomics, including economic psychology; international economics; public finance; health economics; education; economic growth and technological change; economic development; social economics, including culture, institutions, social interaction, and networks; game theory, political economy, and social choice; and more.
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