利用高斯模糊数估计IBNR索赔准备金

Ismael Sampaio Bastos, Leonardo Bruno Vana, Carolina Cardoso Novo
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在针对高斯模糊数提出一种新的链梯法。为此,本文介绍了概念并建立了新的视角,不仅允许在索赔估计上下文中使用这种模糊数,而且还允许在其他知识领域使用这种模糊数,以这种方式证实了模糊逻辑在一般意义上的扩展采用。结果表明,与传统方法和先前探索其他类型模糊数的工作相比,采用本文提出的方法具有巨大的优势。 关键词:索赔准备金;模糊逻辑;模糊数;IBNR。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Estimating IBNR claim reserves using Gaussian Fuzzy Numbers
The study aimed to propose a new approach to the chain-ladder method using for that Gaussian Fuzzy Numbers. For that, the text introduces concepts and establishes new perspectives that allow not just the use of this kind of fuzzy number in the claim estimation context but also in other areas of knowledge, corroborating, in that way, to the expansion of the adoption of fuzzy logics in a general sense. The results indicates that the adoption of the proposed method offers huge benefits when compared to the traditional approach and previous works exploring other kind of fuzzy numbers. Keywords: claim reserves; fuzzy logic; fuzzy numbers; IBNR.
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