AUKUS铁砧:希望与危险

IF 1.5 3区社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS

Survival Pub Date : 2023-09-03 DOI:10.1080/00396338.2023.2261239

Nick Childs

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引用次数: 0

摘要

新生的澳大利亚-英国-美国安全伙伴关系，即AUKUS，旨在确保澳大利亚皇家海军从美国和英国获得核动力潜艇的能力，以加强太平洋地区的盟军威慑。这一合作伙伴关系的战略高度和巨大雄心，已经赋予了它近乎神话般的地位。但它的发展之路并非没有潜在的障碍，包括有限的国防工业能力、生产延迟、人员短缺、成本超支和地缘政治变化。如果AUKUS被视为加强美国和澳大利亚之间的战略联系，作为美国对亲密盟友的认可，以及英国对大国地位的要求，那么解散它可能会产生相反的效果。随着项目的展开，特别是随着分歧问题变得更加紧迫，维持三个首都之间的政治和战略联盟将不可避免地变得更具挑战性。

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The AUKUS Anvil: Promise and Peril

The nascent Australia–United Kingdom–United States security partnership, known as AUKUS, aims to secure for the Royal Australian Navy from the US and the UK a capability in nuclear-powered submarines to bolster allied deterrence in the Pacific. The partnership’s strategic loft and immense ambition have already afforded it almost mythical status. But its pathway is hardly free of potential obstacles, which include limited defence-industrial capacities, production delays, personnel shortfalls, cost overruns and geopolitical change. If AUKUS is seen as strengthening the strategic linkage between the US and Australia, as an American endorsement of a close ally, and as Britain’s claim to great-power status, unravelling it would likely have the reverse effect. As the project unfolds, and particularly as divisive issues become more urgent, maintaining political and strategic alignments among the three capitals will inevitably become more challenging.

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来源期刊

Survival Multiple-

CiteScore

2.10

自引率

16.70%

发文量

期刊介绍： Survival, the Institute"s bi-monthly journal, is a leading forum for analysis and debate of international and strategic affairs. With a diverse range of authors, thoughtful reviews and review essays, Survival is scholarly in depth while vivid, well-written and policy-relevant in approach. Shaped by its editors to be both timely and forward-thinking, the journal encourages writers to challenge conventional wisdom and bring fresh, often controversial, perspectives to bear on the strategic issues of the moment. Survival is essential reading for practitioners, analysts, teachers and followers of international affairs. Each issue also contains Book Reviews of the most important recent publications on international politics and security.